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相关论文: Step-by-Step Causality: Transparent Causal Discove…

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Causal discovery methods seek to identify causal relations between random variables from purely observational data, as opposed to actively collected experimental data where an experimenter intervenes on a subset of correlates. One of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Samir Wadhwa , Roy Dong

Scientific discovery catalyzes human intellectual advances, driven by the cycle of hypothesis generation, experimental design, evaluation, and assumption refinement. Central to this process is causal inference, uncovering the mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Ivaxi Sheth , Sahar Abdelnabi , Mario Fritz

We introduce two novel methods, Tree-Search and Self-contextualizing QA, designed to enhance the performance of large language models (LLMs) in question-answering tasks. Tree-Search is a sampling technique specifically created to extract…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Giorgi Kokaia , Pratyush Sinha , Yutong Jiang , Nozha Boujemaa

Causality is a fundamental part of the scientific endeavour to understand the world. Unfortunately, causality is still taboo in much of psychology and social science. Motivated by a growing number of recommendations for the importance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Matthew J. Vowels

Large language models (LLMs) have excelled in various natural language processing tasks, but challenges in interpretability and trustworthiness persist, limiting their use in high-stakes fields. Causal discovery offers a promising approach…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Wei Zhou , Hong Huang , Guowen Zhang , Ruize Shi , Kehan Yin , Yuanyuan Lin , Bang Liu

We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural equation models. We propose a simple ``trick'' based on statistical testing in linear models that can distinguish between ancestors and non-ancestors of any given variable.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

We propose a novel framework that leverages LLMs for full causal graph discovery. While previous LLM-based methods have used a pairwise query approach, this requires a quadratic number of queries which quickly becomes impractical for larger…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Thomas Jiralerspong , Xiaoyin Chen , Yash More , Vedant Shah , Yoshua Bengio

Built upon the concept of causal faithfulness, the so-called causal discovery algorithms propose the breakdown of mutual information (MI) and conditional mutual information (CMI) into sets of variables to reveal causal influences. These…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-09 Tiago Martinelli , Diogo O. Soares-Pinto , Francisco A. Rodrigues

In real practice, questions are typically complex and knowledge-intensive, requiring Large Language Models (LLMs) to recognize the multifaceted nature of the question and reason across multiple information sources. Iterative and adaptive…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Boyi Zhang , Zhuo Liu , Hangfeng He

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown their success in language understanding and reasoning on general topics. However, their capability to perform inference based on user-specified structured data and knowledge in corpus-rare concepts,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Haitao Jiang , Lin Ge , Yuhe Gao , Jianian Wang , Rui Song

Causal discovery aims to identify causal relationships between variables and is a fundamental problem across the sciences. Traditional statistical causal discovery (SCD) methods rely solely on observational data and ignore the contextual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Hao Duong Le , Xin Xia , Haijie Xu , Chen Zhang

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

Causal Structure Learning (CSL), also referred to as causal discovery, amounts to extracting causal relations among variables in data. CSL enables the estimation of causal effects from observational data alone, avoiding the need to perform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Most existing causal discovery methods rely on the assumption of no latent confounders, limiting their applicability in solving real-life problems. In this paper, we introduce a novel, versatile framework for causal discovery that…

Causal probing aims to analyze foundation models by examining how intervening on their representation of various latent properties impacts their outputs. Recent works have cast doubt on the theoretical basis of several leading causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Marc Canby , Adam Davies , Chirag Rastogi , Julia Hockenmaier

Causal discovery aims to recover information about an unobserved causal graph from the observable data it generates. Layerings are orderings of the variables which place causes before effects. In this paper, we provide ways to recover…

Causal structure discovery methods are commonly applied to structured data where the causal variables are known and where statistical testing can be used to assess the causal relationships. By contrast, recovering a causal structure from…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Gaël Gendron , Jože M. Rožanec , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Causal inference remains a fundamental challenge for large language models. Recent advances in internal reasoning with large language models have sparked interest in whether state-of-the-art reasoning models can robustly perform causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Kacper Kadziolka , Saber Salehkaleybar

The discovery of causal relationships between random variables is an important yet challenging problem that has applications across many scientific domains. Differentiable causal discovery (DCD) methods are effective in uncovering causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Shiv Kampani , David Hidary , Constantijn van der Poel , Martin Ganahl , Brenda Miao