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相关论文: What If TSF: A Benchmark for Reframing Forecasting…

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Time series forecasting is critical across finance, healthcare, and cloud computing, yet progress is constrained by a fundamental bottleneck: the scarcity of large-scale, high-quality benchmarks. To address this gap, we introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Siqiao Xue , Zhaoyang Zhu , Wei Zhang , Rongyao Cai , Rui Wang , Yixiang Mu , Fan Zhou , Jianguo Li , Peng Di , Hang Yu

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have borrowed the long context paradigm from natural language processing under the premise that feeding more history into the model improves forecast quality. But in stochastic domains, distant history…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Rishi Ahuja , Kumar Prateek , Simranjit Singh , Vijay Kumar

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) has long been a challenge in time series analysis. Inspired by the success of Large Language Models (LLMs), researchers are now developing Large Time Series Models (LTSMs)-universal transformer-based models…

Multimodal time series forecasting has garnered significant attention for its potential to provide more accurate predictions than traditional single-modality models by leveraging rich information inherent in other modalities. However, due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Jiafeng Lin , Yuxuan Wang , Huakun Luo , Zhongyi Pei , Jianmin Wang

The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Tao Han , Zhibin Wen , Zhenghao Chen , Dazhao Du , Song Guo , Lei Bai

Conventional forecasting methods rely on unimodal time series data, limiting their ability to exploit rich textual information. Recently, large language models (LLMs) and time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated powerful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-16 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Jingyu Wang , Jianxin Liao

Time series forecasting (TSF) is crucial in fields like economic forecasting, weather prediction, traffic flow analysis, and public health surveillance. Real-world time series data often include noise, outliers, and missing values, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Quangao Liu , Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , LongLong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

Time series forecasting traditionally relies on unimodal numerical inputs, which often struggle to capture high-level semantic patterns due to their dense and unstructured nature. While recent approaches have explored representing time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Sixun Dong , Wei Fan , Teresa Wu , Yanjie Fu

Forecasting is a challenging task that offers a clearly measurable way to study AI systems. Forecasting requires a large amount of research on the internet, and evaluations require time for events to happen, making the development of…

Recently, there has been growing interest in incorporating textual information into foundation models for time series forecasting. However, it remains unclear whether and under what conditions such multimodal integration consistently yields…

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Recent Transformer-based large language models (LLMs) demonstrate in-context learning ability to perform various functions based solely on the provided context, without updating model parameters. To fully utilize the in-context capabilities…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

In recent work on time-series prediction, Transformers and even large language models have garnered significant attention due to their strong capabilities in sequence modeling. However, in practical deployments, time-series prediction often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Wenxuan Xie , Fanpu Cao

Recent studies in time series forecasting (TSF) use multimodal inputs, such as text and historical time series data, to predict future values. These studies mainly focus on developing advanced techniques to integrate textual information…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song , Yongdong Zhang

Forecasting weather and climate events is crucial for making appropriate measures to mitigate environmental hazards and minimize losses. However, existing environmental forecasting research focuses narrowly on predicting numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Haobo Li , Zhaowei Wang , Jiachen Wang , Yueya Wang , Alexis Kai Hon Lau , Huamin Qu

The immense success of the Transformer architecture in Natural Language Processing has led to its adoption in Time Se ries Forecasting (TSF), where superior performance has been shown. However, a recent important paper questioned their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Musleh Alharthi , Kaleel Mahmood , Sarosh Patel , Ausif Mahmood

World foundation models, which simulate the physical world by predicting future states from current observations and inputs, have become central to many applications in physical intelligence, including autonomous driving and robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Wenyan Cong , Hanqing Zhu , Peihao Wang , Bangya Liu , Dejia Xu , Kevin Wang , David Z. Pan , Yan Wang , Zhiwen Fan , Zhangyang Wang

Recently, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated powerful capabilities in performing various tasks and thus are applied by recent studies to time series forecasting (TSF) tasks, which predict future values with the given historical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Qinyu Liu , Jun Zhang , Yan Song

We formulate a new inference task in the domain of multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), called Variable Subset Forecast (VSF), where only a small subset of the variables is available during inference. Variables are absent during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Jatin Chauhan , Aravindan Raghuveer , Rishi Saket , Jay Nandy , Balaraman Ravindran

Human experts typically integrate numerical and textual multimodal information to analyze time series. However, most traditional deep learning predictors rely solely on unimodal numerical data, using a fixed-length window for training and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Lei Zhang , Jianxin Liao