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Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

This paper introduces CryptoAnalytics, a software toolkit for cryptocoins price forecasting with machine learning (ML) techniques. Cryptocoins are tradable digital assets exchanged for specific trading prices. While history has shown the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-09 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Designing robust and accurate prediction models has been a viable research area since a long time. While proponents of a well-functioning market predictors believe that it is difficult to accurately predict market prices but many scholars…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-16 Vishal Kuber , Divakar Yadav , Arun Kr Yadav

Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) are used to model US recessions from 1967 to 2021. Their predictive performances are compared to those of the traditional linear models. The out-of-sample performance suggests the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-24 Seulki Chung

In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-02-04 Aniruddha Dutta , Saket Kumar , Meheli Basu

The effectiveness of long short term memory networks trained by backpropagation through time for stock price prediction is explored in this paper. A range of different architecture LSTM networks are constructed trained and tested.

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-08-30 Hengjian Jia

Demand forecasting in power sector has become an important part of modern demand management and response systems with the rise of smart metering enabled grids. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) shows promising results in predicting time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Koushik Roy , Abtahi Ishmam , Kazi Abu Taher

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms, particularly in the context of pricing American options using Monte Carlo simulations. Traditional models, such as the Black-Scholes-Merton framework, often fail to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-06 Prudence Djagba , Callixte Ndizihiwe

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

In modern society, the trading methods and strategies used in financial market have gradually changed from traditional on-site trading to electronic remote trading, and even online automatic trading performed by a pre-programmed computer…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-11-24 Wei-Chang Yeh , Yu-Hsin Hsieh , Chia-Ling Huang

Long-term price forecasting remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent uncertainty over the long term, despite some success in short-term predictions. Nonetheless, accurate long-term forecasts are essential for high-net-worth…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-18 Mohit Beniwal

This paper explores using a deep learning Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for accurate stock price prediction and its implications for portfolio design. Despite the efficient market hypothesis suggesting that predicting stock prices is…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-16 Jaydip Sen , Hetvi Waghela , Sneha Rakshit

Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-20 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

This paper explores the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for economic forecasting, focusing on predicting CPI inflation rates. The study explores a new approach that integrates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Guhan Sivakumar

In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman