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Correctly forecasting the timing and location of changes in winter precipitation type could help decision makers mitigate the worst impacts of winter storms. Multiple precipitation type algorithms have been developed from both physical and…

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Deep learning (DL) in general and Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in particular have seen high success levels in sequence based applications. This paper pertains to RNNs for time series modelling and forecasting. We propose a novel RNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Avinash Achar , Soumen Pachal

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

Lightning plays a crucial role in the Earth's climate system, yet existing parameterizations for use in forecasting and earth system models show room for improvement in capturing spatial and temporal variations in its frequency. This study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-15 Randall Jones , Joel A. Thornton , Chris J. Wright , Robert Holzworth

Multimodel ensembling has been widely used to improve climate model predictions, and the improvement strongly depends on the ensembling scheme. In this work, we propose a Bayesian neural network (BNN) ensembling method, which combines…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-08-10 Ming Fan , Dan Lu , Deeksha Rastogi , Eric M. Pierce

Wind energy forecasting helps to manage power production, and hence, reduces energy cost. Deep Neural Networks (DNN) mimics hierarchical learning in the human brain and thus possesses hierarchical, distributed, and multi-task learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-01 Asifullah Khan , Aneela Zameer , Tauseef Jamal , Ahmad Raza

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has become a powerful tool for developing control policies in queueing networks, but the common use of Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) neural networks in these applications has significant drawbacks. MLP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Jerrod Wigmore , Brooke Shrader , Eytan Modiano

Markov networks (MNs) are a powerful way to compactly represent a joint probability distribution, but most MN structure learning methods are very slow, due to the high cost of evaluating candidates structures. Dependency networks (DNs)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-10-19 Daniel Lowd

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is increasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and environmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and statistical models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Bangyu Li , Yang Qian

Sub-seasonal weather forecasts are becoming increasingly important for a range of socio-economic activities. However, the predictive ability of physical weather models is very limited on these time scales. We propose several post-processing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-06-29 Nina Horat , Sebastian Lerch

Spiking Neural Network (SNN) is acknowledged as the next generation of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and hold great promise in effectively processing spatial-temporal information. However, the choice of timestep becomes crucial as it…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-05-03 Dengyu Wu , Yi Qi , Kaiwen Cai , Gaojie Jin , Xinping Yi , Xiaowei Huang

This paper considers the problem of data-driven prediction of partially observed systems using a recurrent neural network. While neural network based dynamic predictors perform well with full-state training data, prediction with partial…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-07 Debdipta Goswami

Low precision deep neural network (DNN) training is one of the most effective techniques for boosting DNNs' training efficiency, as it trims down the training cost from the finest bit level. While existing works mostly fix the model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Zhongzhi Yu , Yonggan Fu , Shang Wu , Mengquan Li , Haoran You , Yingyan Lin

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin