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Deep neural networks have outperformed existing machine learning models in various molecular applications. In practical applications, it is still difficult to make confident decisions because of the uncertainty in predictions arisen from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-21 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

The appreciation and utilisation of risk and uncertainty can play a key role in helping to solve some of the many ethical issues that are posed by AI. Understanding the uncertainties can allow algorithms to make better decisions by…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Nicholas Gray

As mobile robots are increasingly deployed in human environments, enabling them to predict how people perceive them is critical for socially adaptable navigation. Predicting perceptions is challenging for two main reasons: (1) HRI…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Maximilian Diehl , Nathan Tsoi , Gustavo Chavez , Karinne Ramirez-Amaro , Marynel Vázquez

One of the core facets of Bayesianism is in the updating of prior beliefs in light of new evidence$\text{ -- }$so how can we maintain a Bayesian approach if we have no prior beliefs in the first place? This is one of the central challenges…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Tommy Rochussen , Vincent Fortuin

Despite much research targeted at enabling conventional machine learning models to continually learn tasks and data distributions sequentially without forgetting the knowledge acquired, little effort has been devoted to account for more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Sandra Servia-Rodriguez , Cecilia Mascolo , Young D. Kwon

Facial emotion recognition is the task to classify human emotions in face images. It is a difficult task due to high aleatoric uncertainty and visual ambiguity. A large part of the literature aims to show progress by increasing accuracy on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Maryam Matin , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

In recent years there has been significant progress in algorithms and methods for inducing Bayesian networks from data. However, in complex data analysis problems, we need to go beyond being satisfied with inducing networks with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt , Abraham Wyner

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Non-Bayesian social learning theory provides a framework for distributed inference of a group of agents interacting over a social network by sequentially communicating and updating beliefs about the unknown state of the world through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-25 James Z. Hare , Cesar Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

Model explanations can be valuable for interpreting and debugging predictive models. We study a specific kind called Concept Explanations, where the goal is to interpret a model using human-understandable concepts. Although popular for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Vihari Piratla , Juyeon Heo , Katherine M. Collins , Sukriti Singh , Adrian Weller

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Despite AI's impressive achievements, including recent advances in generative and large language models, there remains a significant gap in the ability of AI systems to handle uncertainty and generalize beyond their training data. AI models…

People naturally bring their prior beliefs to bear on how they interpret the new information, yet few formal models exist for accounting for the influence of users' prior beliefs in interactions with data presentations like visualizations.…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2019-01-11 Yea-Seul Kim , Logan A Walls , Peter Krafft , Jessica Hullman

Recent advancements in machine learning have emphasized the need for transparency in model predictions, particularly as interpretability diminishes when using increasingly complex architectures. In this paper, we propose leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Chenrui Zhu , Louenas Bounia , Vu Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Arthur Hoarau

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Deep neural networks have revolutionized medical image analysis and disease diagnosis. Despite their impressive performance, it is difficult to generate well-calibrated probabilistic outputs for such networks, which makes them…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-29 Pranav Poduval , Hrushikesh Loya , Amit Sethi