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Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

The Random Forest model is one of the popular models of Machine learning. We present a quantum algorithm for testing (forecasting) process of the Random Forest machine learning model for the Regression problem. The presented algorithm is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-25 Kamil Khadiev , Liliya Safina

The design of training objective is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing training objectives such as mean squared error mostly treat each future step as an independent, equally weighted task, which we found leading…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yuan Lu , Zhichao Chen , Tianqiao Liu , Shuting He , Zhixuan Chu , Qingsong Wen , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Modern day quantum simulators can prepare a wide variety of quantum states but the accurate estimation of observables from tomographic measurement data often poses a challenge. We tackle this problem by developing a quantum state tomography…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-09-27 Tobias Schmale , Moritz Reh , Martin Gärttner

In this paper, we propose a new and unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning. Our approach simultaneously estimates a regression function and a conditional generator using a generative learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-28 Shanshan Song , Tong Wang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

Automated feature engineering (AFE) enables AI systems to autonomously construct high-utility representations from raw tabular data. However, existing AFE methods rely on statistical heuristics, yielding brittle features that fail under…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Wangyang Ying , Yanjie Fu

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Scientific Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications require models that deliver trustworthy uncertainty estimates while respecting domain constraints. Existing uncertainty quantification methods lack mechanisms to incorporate symbolic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Shahnawaz Alam , Mohammed Mudassir Uddin , Mohammed Kaif Pasha

We present a method for image-based crowd counting, one that can predict a crowd density map together with the uncertainty values pertaining to the predicted density map. To obtain prediction uncertainty, we model the crowd density values…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Viresh Ranjan , Boyu Wang , Mubarak Shah , Minh Hoai

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

We provide a rigorous framework for handling uncertainty in quantitative fault tree analysis based on fuzzy theory. We show that any algorithm for fault tree unreliability analysis can be adapted to this framework in a fully general and…

Predictive models make mistakes. Hence, there is a need to quantify the uncertainty associated with their predictions. Conformal inference has emerged as a powerful tool to create statistically valid prediction regions around point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Mateus P. Otto , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid

Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) generalization is an essential topic in machine learning. However, recent research is only focusing on the corresponding methods for neural networks. This paper introduces a novel and effective solution for OOD…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-19 Yufan Liao , Qi Wu , Xing Yan

The \textit{Temporal Fusion Transformer} (TFT), proposed by Lim \textit{et al.}, published in \textit{International Journal of Forecasting} (2021), is a state-of-the-art attention-based deep neural network architecture specifically designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Krishnakanta Barik , Goutam Paul
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