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The arrival time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the vicinity of the Earth is one of the most important parameters in determining space weather. We have used a new approach to predicting this parameter. First, in our study, we have…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-10-08 Anitha Ravishankar , Grzegorz Michałek

The process by which the Sun affects the terrestrial environment on short timescales is predominately driven by the amount of magnetic reconnection between the solar wind and Earth's magnetosphere. Reconnection occurs most efficiently when…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 N. P. Savani , A. Vourlidas , A. Szabo , M. L. Mays , I. G. Richardson , B. J. Thompson , A. Pulkkinen , R. Evans , T. Nieves-Chinchilla

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission, spanning from 2002 to 2017, has provided a valuable dataset for monitoring variations in Earth's gravity field, enabling diverse applications in geophysics and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Neda Darbeheshti , Elahe Moradi

In numerical weather prediction (NWP), a large number of observations are used to create initial conditions for weather forecasting through a process known as data assimilation. An assessment of the value of these observations for NWP can…

Although space weather events may not directly affect human life, they have the potential to inflict significant harm upon our communities. Harmful space weather events can trigger atmospheric changes that result in physical and economic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-07 Shlesh Sakpal

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

The Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) science team has released results from the first year of operation at the Earth-Sun L2 Lagrange point. The maps are consistent with previous observations but have much better sensitivity and…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. L. Wright

We report on an observationally constrained analytical model, the INterplanetary Flux ROpe Simulator (INFROS), for predicting the magnetic-field vectors of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the interplanetary medium. The main architecture of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Ranadeep Sarkar , Nat Gopalswamy , Nandita Srivastava

The Multi Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) is an integral field spectrograph on the Very Large Telescope Unit Telescope 4, capable of laser guide star assisted and tomographic adaptive optics using the GALACSI module. Its observing…

In recent years, various international security events have occurred frequently and interacted between real society and cyberspace. Traditional traffic monitoring mainly focuses on the local anomalous status of events due to a large amount…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Songtao Peng , Yiping Chen , Xincheng Shu , Wu Shuai , Shenhao Fang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Qi Xuan

Ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) play a key role in seismic hazard assessment (SHA). Considering the seismo-tectonic, geophysical and geotectonic characteristics of a target region, all the GMPEs may not be suitable in predicting…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-10 S. Selvan , Suman Sinha

Ensemble data assimilation is a problem in determining the most likely phase space trajectory of a model of an observed dynamical sys- tem as it receives inputs from measurements passing information to the model. Using methods developed in…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Henry D. I. Abarbanel

We present a 3-D morphological and field reconstruction of a coronal mass ejection (CME) from 2023 November 28, which hits three spacecraft near 1 au: Wind at Earth's L1 Lagrange point; STEREO-A with a longitudinal separation of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-03-07 Brian E. Wood , Phillip Hess

Solar proton events (SPEs) cause large-scale ionization in the middle atmosphere leading to ozone loss and changes in the energy budget of the middle atmosphere. The accurate implementation of SPEs and other particle ionization sources in…

空间物理 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Erkka Heino , Pekka T. Verronen , Antti Kero , Niilo Kalakoski , Noora Partamies

Event detection is the first step in event-based non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) and it can provide useful transient information to identify appliances. However, existing event detection methods with fixed parameters may fail in case…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-26 Lei Yan , Wei Tian , Jiayu Han , Zuyi Li

The geo-effectiveness of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) is a critical area of study in space weather, particularly in the lesser-explored domain of CME-CME interactions and their geomagnetic consequences. This study leverages the SWASTi…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-01 Prateek Mayank , Stefan Lotz , Bhargav Vaidya , Wageesh Mishra , D. Chakrabarty

Accurate forecasts of segment-level sailing durations are fundamental to enhancing maritime schedule reliability and optimizing long-term port operations. However, conventional estimated time of arrival (ETA) models are primarily designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Nairui Liu , Fang He , Xindi Tang , Yineng Wang

We present new full-sky temperature and polarization maps in five frequency bands from 23 to 94 GHz, based on data from the first five years of the WMAP sky survey. The five-year maps incorporate several improvements in data processing made…

Accurately estimating time of arrival (ETA) for trucks is crucial for optimizing transportation efficiency in logistics. GPS trajectory data offers valuable information for ETA, but challenges arise due to temporal sparsity, variable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Mengran Li , Junzhou Chen , Guanying Jiang , Fuliang Li , Ronghui Zhang , Siyuan Gong , Zhihan Lv

We investigate a CME propagating towards Earth on 29 March 2011. This event is specifically chosen for its predominately northward directed magnetic field, so that the influence from the momentum flux onto Earth can be isolated. We focus…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Neel P. Savani , A. Vourlidas , A. Pulkkinen , T. Nieves-Chinchilla , B. Lavraud , M. J. Owens