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The Time-of-Arrival (ToA) of coronal mass ejections (CME) at Earth is a key parameter due to the space weather phenomena associated with the CME arrival, such as intense geomagnetic storms. Despite the incremental use of new instrumentation…

In this study we present a statistical analysis of 53 fast Earth-directed halo CMEs observed by the SOHO/LASCO instrument during the period Jan. 2009-Sep. 2015, and we use this CME sample to test the capabilities of a Sun-to-Earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-12-19 Camilla Scolini , Mauro Messerotti , Stefaan Poedts , Luciano Rodriguez

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) cause various disturbances of the space environment; therefore, forecasting their arrival time is very important. However, forecasting accuracy is hindered by limited CME observations in interplanetary space.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-13 Kazumasa Iwai , Daikou Shiota , Munetoshi Tokumaru , Kenichi Fujiki , Mitsue Den , Yûki Kubo

Multi-spacecraft observations of solar energetic particle (SEP) events not only enable a deeper understanding and development of particle acceleration and transport theories, but also provide important constraints for model validation…

White light images of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are projections on the plane-of-sky (POS). As a result, CME kinematics are subject to projection effects. The error in the true (deprojected) speed of CMEs is one of the main causes of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-14 Evangelos Paouris , Angelos Vourlidas , Athanasios Papaioannou , Anastasios Anastasiadis

Predicting the effects of a coronal mass ejection (CME) impact requires knowing if impact will occur, which part of the CME impacts, and its magnetic properties. We explore the relation between CME deflections and rotations, which change…

空间物理 · 物理学 2018-01-31 C. Kay , N. Gopalswamy

The Sun constantly releases radiation and plasma into the heliosphere. Sporadically, the Sun launches solar eruptions such as flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). CMEs carry away a huge amount of mass and magnetic flux with them. An…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-02 Khalid A. Alobaid , Jason T. L. Wang

In this study, we evaluate a coronal mass ejection (CME) arrival prediction tool that utilizes the wide-angle observations made by STEREO's heliospheric imagers (HI). The unsurpassable advantage of these imagers is the possibility to…

We perform a numerical study of the evolution of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) and its interaction with the coronal magnetic field based on the May 12, 1997, CME event using a global MagnetoHydroDynamic (MHD) model for the solar corona. The…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 O. Cohen , G. D. R. Attrill , N. A. Schwadron , N. U. Crooker , M. J. Owens , C. Downs , T. I. Gombosi

We present the final nine-year maps and basic results from the WMAP mission. We provide new nine-year full sky temperature maps that were processed to reduce the asymmetry of the effective beams. Temperature and polarization sky maps are…

The Atomic Clocks Ensemble in Space (ACES/PHARAO mission, ESA and CNES) will be installed on board the International Space Station (ISS) next year. A crucial part of this experiment is its two-way MicroWave Link (MWL), which will compare…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-01-25 F Meynadier , P Delva , C le Poncin Lafitte , C Guerlin , P Wolf

Accurate forecasting of the arrival time and arrival speed of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a unsolved problem in space weather research. In this study, a comparison of the predicted arrival times and speeds for each CME based,…

We study three CME/ICME events (2008 June 1-6, 2009 February 13-18, 2010 April 3-5) tracked from Sun to 1 AU in remote-sensing observations of STEREO Heliospheric Imagers and in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements. We focus on the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Manuela Temmer , Tanja Rollett , Christian Möstl , Astrid M. Veronig , Bojan Vrsnak , Dusan Odstrcil

A goal of the NASA STEREO mission is to study the feasibility of forecasting the direction, arrival time and internal structure of solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from a vantage point outside the Sun-Earth line. Through a case study, we…

The NASA STEREO mission opened up the possibility to forecast the arrival times, speeds and directions of solar transients from outside the Sun-Earth line. In particular, we are interested in predicting potentially geo-effective…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Christian Möstl , Jackie A. Davies

In this study, we analyze nine CMEs from the Sun to Earth as observed in both the remote sensing and in situ data sets. To date, this is the largest study of Earth impacting CMEs using the multi-view point remote sensing and in situ data.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-06-20 Robin C. Colaninno

In the past decade, significant efforts have been made in developing physics-based solar wind and coronal mass ejection (CME) models, which have been or are being transferred to national centers (e.g., SWPC, CCMC) to enable space weather…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-06 Meng Jin , Nariaki V. Nitta , Christina M. S. Cohen

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

This study quantifies how uncertainty in physically meaningful coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar-wind inputs propagates into forecast-relevant diagnostics from eruption to 1 AU. We use a semi-analytic erupting flux rope (EFR) model to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-07 S. Stamkos , S. Patsourakos , A. Vourlidas , E. Paouris