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Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

With the global population increasing and arable land resources becoming increasingly limited, smart and precision agriculture have emerged as essential directions for sustainable agricultural development. Artificial intelligence (AI),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Xing Hu , Haodong Chen , Qianqian Duan , Dawei Zhang

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…

Machine learning for weather prediction increasingly relies on ensemble methods to provide probabilistic forecasts. Diffusion-based models have shown strong performance in Limited-Area Modeling (LAM) but remain computationally expensive at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Windstorms significantly impact the UK, causing extensive damage to property, disrupting society, and potentially resulting in loss of life. Accurate modelling and understanding of such events are essential for effective risk assessment and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-18 Etron Yee Chun Tsoi

Urban wind flow modeling and simulation play an important role in air quality assessment and sustainable city planning. A key challenge for modeling and simulation is handling the complex geometries of the urban landscape. Low order models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Francisco Giral , Álvaro Manzano , Ignacio Gómez , Petros Koumoutsakos , Soledad Le Clainche

The knowledge of type of precipitating cloud is crucial for radar based quantitative estimates of precipitation. We propose a novel model called CloudSense which uses machine learning to accurately identify the type of precipitating clouds…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-13 Mehzooz Nizar , Jha K. Ambuj , Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S. B , G. Pandithurai

The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Haiwen Guan , Moein Darman , Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Troy Arcomano , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), as a framework for estimating generative models via an adversarial process, have attracted huge attention and have proven to be powerful in a variety of tasks. However, training GANs is well known for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-09 Zi-Yi Dou

Since their introduction, diffusion models have quickly become the prevailing approach to generative modeling in many domains. They can be interpreted as learning the gradients of a time-varying sequence of log-probability density…

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have gained significant attention in recent years, with impressive applications highlighted in computer vision in particular. Compared to such examples, however, there have been more limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-07 Jaleh Zand , Stephen Roberts

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is challenging due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts. While recent diffusion and flow matching models have shown promise, they often ignore…

As in many other areas of engineering and applied science, Machine Learning (ML) is having a profound impact in the domain of Weather and Climate Prediction. A very recent development in this area has been the emergence of fully data-driven…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Massimo Bonavita

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks with widespread applications across machine learning and artificial intelligence systems. While current research has predominantly focused on linear diffusions, these…

Diffusion models (DMs) are a class of generative machine learning methods that sample a target distribution by transforming samples of a trivial (often Gaussian) distribution using a learned stochastic differential equation. In standard…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-08-15 Luke Causer , Grant M. Rotskoff , Juan P. Garrahan

Generative Deep Learning is a powerful tool for modeling of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) in the tropics, yet its relationship to traditional theoretical frameworks remains poorly understood. Here we propose a video diffusion model,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Sulian Thual , Feiyang Cai , Jingjing Wang , Feng Luo

Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-05 Jerry Lin , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Tom Beucler , Sungduk Yu , Michael Pritchard

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Diffusion models (DMs) represent state-of-the-art generative models for continuous inputs. DMs work by constructing a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) in the input space (ie, position space), and using a neural network to reverse it.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-14 Tianrong Chen , Jiatao Gu , Laurent Dinh , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Joshua Susskind , Shuangfei Zhai

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch