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Forecasting irregular time series presents significant challenges due to two key issues: the vulnerability of models to mean regression, driven by the noisy and complex nature of the data, and the limitations of traditional error-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Heejeong Nam , Jihyun Kim , Jimin Yeom

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Weight averaging is a widely used technique for accelerating training and improving the generalization of deep neural networks (DNNs). While existing approaches like stochastic weight averaging (SWA) rely on pre-set weighting schemes, they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Tao Li , Zhehao Huang , Yingwen Wu , Zhengbao He , Qinghua Tao , Xiaolin Huang , Chih-Jen Lin

This paper delves into the application of adversarial domain adaptation (ADA) for enhancing credit risk assessment in financial institutions. It addresses two critical challenges: the cold start problem, where historical lending data is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-30 Mohan Jiang , Jiating Lin , Hongju Ouyang , Jingming Pan , Siyuan Han , Bingyao Liu

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

Most unsupervised anomaly detection methods based on representations of normal samples to distinguish anomalies have recently made remarkable progress. However, existing methods only learn a single decision boundary for distinguishing the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Tianwu Lei , Silin Chen , Bohan Wang , Zhengkai Jiang , Ningmu Zou

Multivariate time-series anomaly detection is essential for reliable industrial control, telemetry, and service monitoring. However, the evolving inter-variable dependencies and inevitable noise render it challenging. Existing methods often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Zhongpeng Qi , Jun Zhang , Wei Li , Zhuoxuan Liang

In the domain of non-generative visual counterfactual explanations (CE), traditional techniques frequently involve the substitution of sections within a query image with corresponding sections from distractor images. Such methods have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Lintong Zhang , Kang Yin , Seong-Whan Lee

Automated anomaly detection is essential for managing information and communications technology (ICT) systems to maintain reliable services with minimum burden on operators. For detecting varying and continually emerging anomalies as…

Unsupervised anomaly detection is a challenging task. Autoencoders (AEs) or generative models are often employed to model the data distribution of normal inputs and subsequently identify anomalous, out-of-distribution inputs by high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Yalin Liao , Austin J. Brockmeier

We present a real-time multivariate anomaly detection algorithm for data streams based on the Probabilistic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (PEWMA). Our formulation is resilient to (abrupt transient, abrupt distributional, and gradual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Kenneth Odoh

We propose a new weighted average estimator for the high dimensional parameters under the distributed learning system, in which the weight assigned to each coordinate is precisely proportional to the inverse of the variance of the local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Jun Lu , Xiaoyu Mao , Mengyao Li , Chenping Hou

Dynamic model averaging (DMA) combines the forecasts of a large number of dynamic linear models (DLMs) to predict the future value of a time series. The performance of DMA critically depends on the appropriate choice of two forgetting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-12-11 Alisa Yusupova , Nicos G. Pavlidis , Efthymios G. Pavlidis

Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC) is a technique used in overcoming catastrophic forgetting between successive tasks trained on a neural network. We use this phenomenon of information sharing between tasks for domain adaptation. Training…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Avinash Madasu , Vijjini Anvesh Rao

We propose a novel Conditional Latent space Variational Autoencoder (CL-VAE) to perform improved pre-processing for anomaly detection on data with known inlier classes and unknown outlier classes. This proposed variational autoencoder (VAE)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Oskar Åström , Alexandros Sopasakis

Unsupervised detection of anomaly points in time series is a challenging problem, which requires the model to derive a distinguishable criterion. Previous methods tackle the problem mainly through learning pointwise representation or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Jiehui Xu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Anomaly Detection in multivariate time series is a major problem in many fields. Due to their nature, anomalies sparsely occur in real data, thus making the task of anomaly detection a challenging problem for classification algorithms to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Anastasios Iliopoulos , John Violos , Christos Diou , Iraklis Varlamis

Weather data, comprising multiple variables, poses significant challenges due to its high dimensionality and multimodal nature. Creating low-dimensional embeddings requires compressing this data into a compact, shared latent space. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Nathan Bailey

As attention to recorded data grows in the realm of automotive testing and manual evaluation reaches its limits, there is a growing need for automatic online anomaly detection. This real-world data is complex in many ways and requires the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Philipp Klein , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova