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Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens

Traditional imitation learning provides a set of methods and algorithms to learn a reward function or policy from expert demonstrations. Learning from demonstration has been shown to be advantageous for navigation tasks as it allows for…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Christian Ellis , Maggie Wigness , John G. Rogers , Craig Lennon , Lance Fiondella

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Missing time-series data is a prevalent problem in many prescriptive analytics models in operations management, healthcare and finance. Imputation methods for time-series data are usually applied to the full panel data with the purpose of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-13 Jose Blanchet , Fernando Hernandez , Viet Anh Nguyen , Markus Pelger , Xuhui Zhang

Usage-based insurance (UBI) uses telematics to align premiums with risk and encourage safe driving. However, deploying these programs is challenging due to heavy-tailed claim costs, nonstationary driver behavior, and limited incentive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-11 Qinyang He , Yonatan Mintz

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

Distance metric learning is an important component for many tasks, such as statistical classification and content-based image retrieval. Existing approaches for learning distance metrics from pairwise constraints typically suffer from two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Liu Yang , Rong Jin , Rahul Sukthankar

Learning-augmented algorithms -- in which, traditional algorithms are augmented with machine-learned predictions -- have emerged as a framework to go beyond worst-case analysis. The overarching goal is to design algorithms that perform…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Sungjin Im , Ravi Kumar , Aditya Petety , Manish Purohit

We develop a principled approach to end-to-end learning in stochastic optimization. First, we show that the standard end-to-end learning algorithm admits a Bayesian interpretation and trains a posterior Bayes action map. Building on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-13 Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Tobias Sutter

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Online bidding is a classic optimization problem, with several applications in online decision-making, the design of interruptible systems, and the analysis of approximation algorithms. In this work, we study online bidding under…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Spyros Angelopoulos , Bertrand Simon

The recent literature on deep learning offers new tools to learn a rich probability distribution over high dimensional data such as images or sounds. In this work we investigate the possibility of learning the prior distribution over neural…

Preferential Bayesian optimization allows optimization of objectives that are either expensive or difficult to measure directly, by relying on a minimal number of comparative evaluations done by a human expert. Generating candidate…

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) are naturally suited for speech processing tasks due to their specific dynamics, which allows them to handle temporal data. However, the threshold-based generation of spikes in SNNs intuitively causes an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Yesmine Abdennadher , Philip N. Garner

Learning-augmented algorithms have emerged as a powerful paradigm to surpass traditional worst-case lower bounds by integrating potentially noisy predictions. While this framework has seen success in online scheduling, existing work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Mugen Blue , Sungjin Im , Alexander Lindermayr

In this work we explore a straightforward variational Bayes scheme for Recurrent Neural Networks. Firstly, we show that a simple adaptation of truncated backpropagation through time can yield good quality uncertainty estimates and superior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-13 Meire Fortunato , Charles Blundell , Oriol Vinyals

We study online Bayesian persuasion problems in which an informed sender repeatedly faces a receiver with the goal of influencing their behavior through the provision of payoff-relevant information. Previous works assume that the sender has…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Francesco Bacchiocchi , Matteo Bollini , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

Recent advances in computing power and the potential to make more realistic assumptions due to increased flexibility have led to the increased prevalence of simulation models in economics. While models of this class, and particularly…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-12 Donovan Platt

Federated learning is an established method for training machine learning models without sharing training data. However, recent work has shown that it cannot guarantee data privacy as shared gradients can still leak sensitive information.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-18 Mislav Balunović , Dimitar I. Dimitrov , Robin Staab , Martin Vechev