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A wide range of machine learning algorithms iteratively add data to the training sample. Examples include semi-supervised learning, active learning, multi-armed bandits, and Bayesian optimization. We embed this kind of data addition into…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Julian Rodemann

The new field of adaptive data analysis seeks to provide algorithms and provable guarantees for models of machine learning that allow researchers to reuse their data, which normally falls outside of the usual statistical paradigm of static…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-22 Sam Elder

Deep learning is a form of machine learning for nonlinear high dimensional pattern matching and prediction. By taking a Bayesian probabilistic perspective, we provide a number of insights into more efficient algorithms for optimisation and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We consider the problem of sequentially making decisions that are rewarded by "successes" and "failures" which can be predicted through an unknown relationship that depends on a partially controllable vector of attributes for each instance.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-18 Yingfei Wang , Chu Wang , Warren Powell

This paper considers a distributed adaptive optimization problem, where all agents only have access to their local cost functions with a common unknown parameter, whereas they mean to collaboratively estimate the true parameter and find the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-03 Yaqun Yang , Jinlong Lei , Guanghui Wen , Yiguang Hong

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for fine-tuning the hyper-parameters of a wide variety of machine learning models. The success of machine learning has led practitioners in diverse real-world settings to learn classifiers for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-24 Matt J. Kusner , Jacob R. Gardner , Roman Garnett , Kilian Q. Weinberger

We consider a Bayesian approach to offline model-based inverse reinforcement learning (IRL). The proposed framework differs from existing offline model-based IRL approaches by performing simultaneous estimation of the expert's reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Ran Wei , Siliang Zeng , Chenliang Li , Alfredo Garcia , Anthony McDonald , Mingyi Hong

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Simulation-based inference (SBI) provides a powerful framework for inferring posterior distributions of stochastic simulators in a wide range of domains. In many settings, however, the posterior distribution is not the end goal itself --…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Mila Gorecki , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

This PhD thesis presents a distributional view of optimization in place of a worst-case perspective. We motivate this view with an investigation of the failure point of classical optimization. Subsequently we consider the optimization of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-23 Felix Benning

Modern deep learning tools are remarkably effective in addressing intricate problems. However, their operation as black-box models introduces increased uncertainty in predictions. Additionally, they contend with various challenges,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Sourav Ganguly , Saprativa Bhattacharjee

We consider a natural dynamic staffing problem in which a decision-maker sequentially hires workers over a finite horizon to meet an unknown demand revealed at the end. Predictions about demand arrive over time and become increasingly…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Yiding Feng , Vahideh Manshadi , Rad Niazadeh , Saba Neyshabouri

Local optimization presents a promising approach to expensive, high-dimensional black-box optimization by sidestepping the need to globally explore the search space. For objective functions whose gradient cannot be evaluated directly,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Quan Nguyen , Kaiwen Wu , Jacob R. Gardner , Roman Garnett

A common problem in Machine Learning and statistics consists in detecting whether the current sample in a stream of data belongs to the same distribution as previous ones, is an isolated outlier or inaugurates a new distribution of data. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Vincent Moens