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In recent years, the application of transformer-based models in time-series forecasting has received significant attention. While often demonstrating promising results, the transformer architecture encounters challenges in fully exploiting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Artyom Stitsyuk , Jaesik Choi

While generative modeling on time series facilitates more capable and flexible probabilistic forecasting, existing generative time series models do not address the multi-dimensional properties of time series data well. The prevalent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Haoran Zhang , Haixuan Liu , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Yuxuan Wang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting plays an important role in the automation and optimization of intelligent applications. It is a challenging task, as we need to consider both complex intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Ling Chen , Donghui Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Binqing Wu , Cen Zheng , Bo Wen , Wei Zhang

Precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity over a short period of time, which mainly relies on the prediction of radar echo sequences. Though convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Ziao Yang , Xiangrui Yang , Qifeng Lin

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Network traffic forecasting plays a crucial role in intelligent network operations, but existing techniques often perform poorly when faced with limited data. Additionally, multi-task learning methods struggle with task imbalance and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Hui Ma , Qingzhong Li , Jin Wang , Jie Wu , Shaoyu Dou , Li Feng , Xinjun Pei

Among the existing Transformer-based multivariate time series forecasting methods, iTransformer, which treats each variable sequence as a token and only explicitly extracts cross-variable dependencies, and PatchTST, which adopts a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Liyang Qin , Xiaoli Wang , Chunhua Yang , Huaiwen Zou , Haochuan Zhang

Despite the notable advancements in numerous Transformer-based models, the task of long multi-horizon time series forecasting remains a persistent challenge, especially towards explainability. Focusing on commonly used saliency maps in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-18 Nghia Duong-Trung , Duc-Manh Nguyen , Danh Le-Phuoc

To enhance the accuracy and robustness of PM$_{2.5}$ concentration forecasting, this paper introduces FALNet, a Frequency-Aware LSTM Network that integrates frequency-domain decomposition, temporal modeling, and attention-based refinement.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Jiahui Lu , Shuang Wu , Zhenkai Qin , Guifang Yang

Cooperative perception significantly enhances scene understanding by integrating complementary information from diverse agents. However, existing research often overlooks critical challenges inherent in real-world multi-source data…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Gong Chen , Chaokun Zhang , Tao Tang , Pengcheng Lv , Feng Li , Xin Xie

The field of time series forecasting is rapidly advancing, with recent large-scale Transformers and lightweight Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models showing strong predictive performance. However, conventional Transformer models are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Zheng Zhou , Yu-Jie Xiong , Jia-Chen Zhang , Chun-Ming Xia , Xi-Jiong Xie

Multivariate time series data provide a robust framework for future predictions by leveraging information across multiple dimensions, ensuring broad applicability in practical scenarios. However, their high dimensionality and mixing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Xuanbing Zhu , Dunbin Shen , Zhongwen Rao , Huiyi Ma , Yingguang Hao , Hongyu Wang

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) faces persistent challenges in modeling intricate temporal dependencies across different scales. Despite recent advances leveraging different decomposition operations and novel architectures based on CNN, MLP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li , Long Lan

Clustering high-dimensional multivariate spatiotemporal climate data is challenging due to complex temporal dependencies, evolving spatial interactions, and non-stationary dynamics. Conventional clustering methods, including recurrent and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Francis Ndikum Nji , Vandana Janaja , Jianwu Wang

Long-term time-series forecasting is critical for environmental monitoring, yet water quality prediction remains challenging due to complex periodicity, nonstationarity, and abrupt fluctuations induced by ecological factors. These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Ziqi Wang , Hailiang Zhao , Cheng Bao , Wenzhuo Qian , Yuhao Yang , Xueqiang Sun , Shuiguang Deng

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Accurate spatial-temporal (ST) prediction for dynamic systems, such as urban mobility and weather patterns, is crucial but hindered by complex ST correlations and the challenge of concurrently modeling long-term trends with short-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Sina Ehsani , Fenglian Pan , Qingpei Hu , Jian Liu

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates