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This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain-based technologies are disrupting all markets. While the potential of such technologies remains to be seen, there is a current need to understand emergent patterns of user behavior and token adoption in order…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Alfredo J. Morales , Shahar Somin , Yaniv Altshuler , Alex 'Sandy' Pentland

This paper examines factors that influence prices of most common five cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dash, Litecoin, and Monero over 2010-2018 using weekly data. The study employs ARDL technique and documents several findings.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-12-01 Yhlas Sovbetov

Risks threatening modern societies form an intricately interconnected network that often underlies crisis situations. Yet, little is known about how risk materializations in distinct domains influence each other. Here we present an approach…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-05-03 Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Xin Lin , Andrea Asztalos , Sameet Sreenivasan

In this paper, we analyze Twitter signals as a medium for user sentiment to predict the price fluctuations of a small-cap alternative cryptocurrency called \emph{ZClassic}. We extracted tweets on an hourly basis for a period of 3.5 weeks,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-05-04 Tianyu Ray Li , Anup S. Chamrajnagar , Xander R. Fong , Nicholas R. Rizik , Feng Fu

Predicting stock market is vital for investors and policymakers, acting as a barometer of the economic health. We leverage social media data, a potent source of public sentiment, in tandem with macroeconomic indicators as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-08 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Taoran Ji , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) drive the prosperity of the Web3 ecosystem. By November 2023, the total market value of NFT projects reached approximately 16 billion USD. Accompanying the success of NFTs are various security issues, i.e.,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Kai Ma , Jintao Huang , Ningyu He , Zhuo Wang , Haoyu Wang

We show that the behaviour of Bitcoin has interesting similarities to stock and precious metal markets, such as gold and silver. We report that whilst Litecoin, the second largest cryptocurrency, closely follows Bitcoin's behaviour, it does…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-11-10 Daniel Wilson-Nunn , Hector Zenil

This paper studies the effects of unexpected changes in US monetary policy on digital asset returns. We use event study regressions and find that monetary policy surprises negatively affect BTC and ETH, the two largest digital assets, but…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-22 Antzelos Kyriazis , Iason Ofeidis , Georgios Palaiokrassas , Leandros Tassiulas

Adversarial attacks for machine learning models have become a highly studied topic both in academia and industry. These attacks, along with traditional security threats, can compromise confidentiality, integrity, and availability of…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Jakub Breier , Adrian Baldwin , Helen Balinsky , Yang Liu

Traditional blockchain systems, such as Ethereum, typically rely on a \emph{single volatile cryptocurrency for transaction fees}. This leads to fluctuating transaction fee prices and limits the flexibility of users' payment options. To…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Mingzhe Li , Bo Gao , Kentaroh Toyoda , Yechao Yang , Juniarto Samsudin , Haibin Zhang , Sifei Lu , Tai Hou Tng , Kerching Choo , Andy Ting , Siow Mong Rick Goh , Qingsong Wei

Cross-correlations in fluctuations of the daily exchange rates within the basket of the 100 highest-capitalization cryptocurrencies over the period October 1, 2015, through March 31, 2019, are studied. The corresponding dynamics…

Recently, cryptocurrencies have attracted a growing interest from investors, practitioners and researchers. Nevertheless, few studies have focused on the predictability of them. In this paper we propose a new and comprehensive study about…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-27 Roy Cerqueti , Massimiliano Giacalone , Raffaele Mattera

Complex evolving systems such as the biosphere, ecosystems and societies exhibit sudden collapses, for reasons that are only partially understood. Here we study this phenomenon using a mathematical model of a system that evolves under…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ravi Mehrotra , Vikram Soni , Sanjay Jain

Cryptocurrencies have gained popularity across various sectors, especially in finance and investment. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrencies can be a high-risk investment due to their price volatility. The inherent volatility in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Asef Nazari , Mong Shan Ee

Financial markets are dynamic, interconnected systems where local shocks can trigger widespread instability, challenging portfolio managers and policymakers. Traditional correlation analysis often miss the directionality and temporal…

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

Shifting ecosystem disturbance patterns due to climate change (e.g. storms, droughts, wildfires) or direct human interference (e.g. harvests, nutrient loading) highlight the importance of quantifying and strengthening the resilience of…

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the growing literature on financial networks has widely documented the predictive power of topological characteristics (e.g. degree centrality measures) to explain the systemic impact or systemic…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-27 Yérali Gandica , Sophie Béreau , Jean-Yves Gnabo

Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) is value extractable by temporary monopoly power commonly found in decentralized systems. This extraction stems from a lack of user privacy upon transaction submission and the ability of a monopolist…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Tarun Chitra