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Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

Multi-task learning (MTL) aims to empower a model to tackle multiple tasks simultaneously. A recent development known as task arithmetic has revealed that several models, each fine-tuned for distinct tasks, can be directly merged into a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Enneng Yang , Zhenyi Wang , Li Shen , Shiwei Liu , Guibing Guo , Xingwei Wang , Dacheng Tao

In the burgeoning ecosystem of Internet of Things, multivariate time series (MTS) data has become ubiquitous, highlighting the fundamental role of time series forecasting across numerous applications. The crucial challenge of long-term MTS…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Zhenwei Zhang , Linghang Meng , Yuantao Gu

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

Accurate demand forecasts can help on-line retail organizations better plan their supply-chain processes. The challenge, however, is the large number of associative factors that result in large, non-stationary shifts in demand, which…

Multi-Task Learning (MTL) is a learning paradigm in machine learning and its aim is to leverage useful information contained in multiple related tasks to help improve the generalization performance of all the tasks. In this paper, we give a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Yu Zhang , Qiang Yang

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends. However, many contemporary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Sumit S Shevtekar , Chandresh K Maurya

Traffic flow forecasting is challenging due to the intricate spatio-temporal correlations in traffic flow data. Existing Transformer-based methods usually treat traffic flow forecasting as multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 Junhao Zhang , Junjie Tang , Juncheng Jin , Zehui Qu

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

The purpose of offline multi-task reinforcement learning (MTRL) is to develop a unified policy applicable to diverse tasks without the need for online environmental interaction. Recent advancements approach this through sequence modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Shengchao Hu , Ziqing Fan , Li Shen , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang , Dacheng Tao

Time series forecasting is critical for decision-making across dynamic domains such as energy, finance, transportation, and cloud computing. However, real-world time series often exhibit non-stationarity, including temporal distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Junkai Lu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Yang Shu , Meng Wang , Bin Yang

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for the development of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), supporting tasks such as traffic signal optimization, congestion management, and route planning. Traditional models often fail…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Zhuo Zheng , Lingran Meng , Ziyu Lin

We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-12-03 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Tian Guo , Fabrizio Lillo

Temporal distribution shift (TDS) erodes the long-term accuracy of recommender systems, yet industrial practice still relies on periodic incremental training, which struggles to capture both stable and transient patterns. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Yuxuan Zhu , Cong Fu , Yabo Ni , Anxiang Zeng , Yuan Fang

Probabilistic forecasting is essential for modern risk management, allowing decision-makers to quantify uncertainty in critical systems. This paper tackles this challenge using the volatile REFIT household dataset, which is complicated by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Midhun Manoj

Platform businesses operate on a digital core and their decision making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-03 Jeroen Rombouts , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

Multi-task learning (MTL) is a powerful machine learning paradigm designed to leverage shared knowledge across tasks to improve generalization and performance. Previous works have proposed approaches to MTL that can be divided into feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-13 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

Online multi-task learning (OMTL) enhances streaming data processing by leveraging the inherent relations among multiple tasks. It can be described as an optimization problem in which a single loss function is defined for multiple tasks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Ruiyu Li , Peilin Zhao , Guangxia Li , Zhiqiang Xu , Xuewei Li