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Traditional bulk load flexibility options, such as load shifting and load curtailment, for managing uncertainty in power markets limit the diversity of options and ignore the preferences of the individual loads, thus reducing efficiency and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-20 Majid Majidi , Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

In this work we show that prediction uncertainty estimates gleaned from deep learning models can be useful inputs for influencing the relative allocation of risk capital across trades. In this way, consideration of uncertainty is important…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-03 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal

This paper explores the application of a reinforcement learning (RL) framework using the Q-Learning algorithm to enhance dynamic pricing strategies in the retail sector. Unlike traditional pricing methods, which often rely on static demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Mohit Apte , Ketan Kale , Pranav Datar , Pratiksha Deshmukh

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

Computational saliency models for still images have gained significant popularity in recent years. Saliency prediction from videos, on the other hand, has received relatively little interest from the community. Motivated by this, in this…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-11-16 Cagdas Bak , Aysun Kocak , Erkut Erdem , Aykut Erdem

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

This work focuses on the setting of dynamic regret in the context of online learning with full information. In particular, we analyze regret bounds with respect to the temporal variability of the loss functions. By assuming that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

Recommenders take place on a wide scale of e-commerce systems, reducing the problem of information overload. The most common approach is to choose a recommender used by the system to make predictions. However, users vary from each other;…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Peter Tibensky , Michal Kompan

In e-commerce industry, user behavior sequence data has been widely used in many business units such as search and merchandising to improve their products. However, it is rarely used in financial services not only due to its 3V…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-13 Wei Min , Weiming Liang , Hang Yin , Zhurong Wang , Mei Li , Alok Lal

Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam