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Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

We develop a unified model in which AI adoption in financial markets generates systemic risk through three mutually reinforcing channels: performative prediction, algorithmic herding, and cognitive dependency. Within an extended rational…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-07 Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

This paper employs machine learning algorithms to forecast German electricity spot market prices. The forecasts utilize in particular bid and ask order book data from the spot market but also fundamental market data like renewable infeed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Simon Schnürch , Andreas Wagner

This paper studies four trading algorithms of a professional trader at a multilateral trading facility, observing a realistic two-sided limit order book whose dynamics are driven by the order book events. The identity of the trader can be…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-01-13 Qinghua Li

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

The complexity and ambiguity of financial and economic systems, along with frequent changes in the economic environment, have made it difficult to make precise predictions that are supported by theory-consistent explanations. Interpreting…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-29 Davood Pirayesh Neghab , Mucahit Cevik , M. I. M. Wahab

Based on iterative optimization and activation function in deep learning, we proposed a new analytical framework of high-frequency trading information, that reduced structural loss in the assembly of Volume-synchronized probability of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-12-24 Boyue Fang , Yutong Feng

This article explores the optimisation of trading strategies in Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) and centralised exchanges. We develop a model that accounts for the interaction between these two markets, estimating the conditional…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-06 Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito , Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

Given the return series for a set of instruments, a \emph{trading strategy} is a switching function that transfers wealth from one instrument to another at specified times. We present efficient algorithms for constructing (ex-post) trading…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2010-09-24 Victor Boyarshinov , Malik Magdon-Ismail

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

The use of machine learning in algorithmic trading systems is increasingly common. In a typical set-up, supervised learning is used to predict the future prices of assets, and those predictions drive a simple trading and execution strategy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Vikram Duvvur , Aashay Mehta , Edward Sun , Bo Wu , Ken Yew Chan , Jeff Schneider

Classical portfolio optimization often requires forecasting asset returns and their corresponding variances in spite of the low signal-to-noise ratio provided in the financial markets. Modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) offers a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Daniele Tantari

In this study, we examine the fluctuation in the value of the Great Britain Pound (GBP). We focus particularly on its relationship with the United States Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) currency pairs. Utilizing data from June 15, 2018, to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Narayan Tondapu

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Determining whether published scientific findings can successfully be replicated is a long-standing challenge in the empirical sciences. Existing approaches for replicability assessment typically rely either on human judgment, i.e.,…