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相关论文: Bayesian Semiparametric Causal Inference: Targeted…

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We propose a double robust Bayesian inference procedure on the average treatment effect (ATE) under unconfoundedness. For our new Bayesian approach, we first adjust the prior distributions of the conditional mean functions, and then correct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

This paper studies semiparametric Bayesian inference for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) within the difference-in-differences (DiD) research design. We propose two new Bayesian methods with frequentist validity. The first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Causal inference from observational datasets often relies on measuring and adjusting for covariates. In practice, measurements of the covariates can often be noisy and/or biased, or only measurements of their proxies may be available.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Wenshuo Guo , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

Inference in semi-supervised (SS) settings has gained substantial attention in recent years due to increased relevance in modern big-data problems. In a typical SS setting, there is a much larger-sized unlabeled data, containing only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

For observational studies, we study the sensitivity of causal inference when treatment assignments may depend on unobserved confounders. We develop a loss minimization approach for estimating bounds on the conditional average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Steve Yadlowsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Sanjay Basu , John Duchi , Lu Tian

Estimation and inference of treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignments often suffer from bias and the `curse of dimensionality' due to the nonparametric estimation of nuisance parameters for high-dimensional confounders.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Zeqi Wu , Meilin Wang , Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang

In this paper, we develop a multiply robust inference procedure of the average treatment effect (ATE) for data with high-dimensional covariates. We consider the case where it is difficult to correctly specify a single parametric model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Xintao Xia , Yumou Qiu

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

This paper extends difference-in-differences to settings with continuous treatments. Specifically, the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) at any level of treatment intensity is identified under a conditional parallel trends…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-05 Lucas Z. Zhang

Average treatment effect estimation is the most central problem in causal inference with application to numerous disciplines. While many estimation strategies have been proposed in the literature, the statistical optimality of these methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Randomized controlled trials often enroll participants whose characteristics differ from those of a target population, which can limit the generalizability of the estimated treatment effects when effect modifiers differ across populations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Lan Wen , Issa J. Dahabreh , Yu-Han Chiu

We establish a general statistical optimality theory for estimation problems where the target parameter is a linear functional of an unknown nuisance component that must be estimated from data. This formulation covers many causal and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider the problem of constructing bounds on the average treatment effect (ATE) when unmeasured confounders exist but have bounded influence. Specifically, we assume that omitted confounders could not change the odds of treatment for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Jacob Dorn , Kevin Guo , Nathan Kallus

The validity of two-step or plug-in inference methods is questioned in the Bayesian framework. We study semi-parametric models where the plug-in of a non-parametrically modelled nuisance component is used. We show that when the nuisance and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-25 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Recently, conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation has been attracting much attention due to its importance in various fields such as statistics, social and biomedical sciences. This study proposes a partially linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-31 Shunsuke Horii

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

The major goal of this paper is to study the second order frequentist properties of the marginal posterior distribution of the parametric component in semiparametric Bayesian models, in particular, a second order semiparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Yun Yang , Guang Cheng , David B. Dunson

Standard causal inference characterizes treatment effect through averages, but the counterfactual distributions could be different in not only the central tendency but also spread and shape. To provide a comprehensive evaluation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Steven G. Xu , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich

Two-phase sampling is a simple and cost-effective estimation strategy in survey sampling and is widely used in practice. Because the phase-2 sampling probability typically depends on low-cost variables collected at phase 1, naive estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Kazuharu Harada , Masataka Taguri
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