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相关论文: Causal computations in Semi Markovian Structural C…

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Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset. Such an approach limits the potential of multi-dataset pretraining.…

Causal learning tackles the computationally demanding task of estimating causal graphs. This paper introduces a new divide-and-conquer approach for causal graph learning, called DCILP. In the divide phase, the Markov blanket MB($X_i$) of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Shuyu Dong , Michèle Sebag , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi

Causal intervention is an essential tool in causal inference. It is axiomatized under the rules of do-calculus in the case of structure causal models. We provide simple axiomatizations for families of probability distributions to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-15 Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-04-24 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

In many scientific disciplines, coarse-grained causal models are used to explain and predict the dynamics of more fine-grained systems. Naturally, such models require appropriate macrovariables. Automated procedures to detect suitable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Benedikt Höltgen

Traditional statistical approaches primarily aim to model associations between variables, but many scientific and practical questions require causal methods instead. These approaches rely on assumptions about an underlying structure, often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Fred van Eeuwijk , Pariya Behrouzi

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

A divide-and-conquer approach to analyzing Markov chains (MCs) is not utilized as widely as it could be, despite its potential benefits. One primary reason for this is the fact that most MC decomposition approaches involve a complex and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-25 Katsunobu Sasanuma , Robert Hampshire , Alan Scheller-Wolf

This paper considers inference of causal structure in a class of graphical models called "conditional DAGs". These are directed acyclic graph (DAG) models with two kinds of variables, primary and secondary. The secondary variables are used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-12 Chris J. Oates , Jim Q. Smith , Sach Mukherjee

We propose a framework for analyzing the sensitivity of counterfactuals to parametric assumptions about the distribution of latent variables in structural models. In particular, we derive bounds on counterfactuals as the distribution of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-26 Timothy Christensen , Benjamin Connault

This paper presents a topological learning-theoretic perspective on causal inference by introducing a series of topologies defined on general spaces of structural causal models (SCMs). As an illustration of the framework we prove a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-01 Duligur Ibeling , Thomas Icard

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Structural equation models (SEMs) are fundamental to causal mediation pathway discovery. However, traditional SEM approaches often rely on \emph{ad hoc} model specifications when handling complex data structures such as mixed data types or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-22 Canyi Chen , Ritoban Kundu , Wei Hao , Peter X. -K. Song

In this paper, we focus on estimating the causal effect of an intervention over time on a dynamical system. To that end, we formally define causal interventions and their effects over time on discrete-time stochastic processes (DSPs). Then,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Martina Cinquini , Isacco Beretta , Salvatore Ruggieri , Isabel Valera

While recent debiasing methods for Scene Graph Generation (SGG) have shown impressive performance, these efforts often attribute model bias solely to the long-tail distribution of relationships, overlooking the more profound causes stemming…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Li Liu , Shuzhou Sun , Shuaifeng Zhi , Fan Shi , Zhen Liu , Janne Heikkilä , Yongxiang Liu

We introduce a Bayesian framework for indirect local clustering of functional data, leveraging B-spline basis expansions and a novel dependent random partition model. By exploiting the local support properties of B-splines, our approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Giovanni Toto , Antonio Canale

We consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in linear structural causal models (SCM) with latent confounders when we have access to a single proxy variable. Several methods (such as…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yaroslav Kivva , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Under standard graphical assumptions, the Markov boundary of a target variable is the smallest set of features that renders every other feature redundant. Once the boundary is observed, the target is conditionally independent of the rest of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Shu Wan , Abhinav Gorantla , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk Candan

Counterfactual reasoning aims at answering contrary-to-fact questions like ``Would have Alice recovered had she taken aspirin?'' and corresponds to the most fine-grained layer of causation. Critically, while many counterfactual statements…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Lucas de Lara

The variability of structure in a finite Markov equivalence class of causally sufficient models represented by directed acyclic graphs has been fully characterized. Without causal sufficiency, an infinite semi-Markov equivalence class of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Benoit Desjardins