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Environmental data may be "large" due to number of records, number of covariates, or both. Random forests has a reputation for good predictive performance when using many covariates with nonlinear relationships, whereas spatial regression,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-27 Eric W. Fox , Jay M. Ver Hoef , Anthony R. Olsen

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires pose significant risks to communities, infrastructure, and the environment, especially in Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) areas. Effective disaster management requires understanding how the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Zihui Ma , Guangxiao Hu , Ting-Syuan Lin , Lingyao Li , Songhua Hu , Loni Hagen , Gregory B. Baecher

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri

Random forests are considered one of the best out-of-the-box classification and regression algorithms due to their high level of predictive performance with relatively little tuning. Pairwise proximities can be computed from a trained…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-02 Jake S. Rhodes , Adele Cutler , Kevin R. Moon

Wildfires are growing in frequency and intensity, devastating ecosystems and communities while causing billions of dollars in suppression costs and economic damage annually in the U.S. Traditional wildfire management is mostly reactive,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Shaurya Mathur , Shreyas Bellary Manjunath , Nitin Kulkarni , Alina Vereshchaka

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Large wildfires pose a major environmental concern, and precise maps of fire risk can improve disaster relief planning. Fosberg Fire Weather Index (FFWI) is often used to measure wildfire risk; FFWI exhibits non-Gaussian marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby , Ana-Maria Staicu

Rapidly growing wildfires have recently devastated societal assets, exposing a critical need for early warning systems to expedite relief efforts. Smoke detection using camera-based Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) offers a promising solution…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Ryo Ide , Lei Yang

Wildfires are uncontrolled fires in the environment that can be caused by humans or nature. In 2020 alone, wildfires in California have burned 4.2 million acres, damaged 10,500 buildings or structures, and killed more than 31 people,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Samarth Shah

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Risk management in many environmental settings requires an understanding of the mechanisms that drive extreme events. Useful metrics for quantifying such risk are extreme quantiles of response variables conditioned on predictor variables…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-08 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Wildfire significantly disturb ecosystems by altering forest structure, vegetation ecophysiology, and soil properties. Understanding the complex interactions between topographic and climatic conditions in post-wildfire recovery is crucial.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-29 Faria Tuz Zahura , Gautam Bisht , Zhi Li , Sarah McKnight , Xingyuan Chen

In recent years wildfires have caused havoc across the world, especially aggravated in certain regions, due to climate change. Remote sensing has become a powerful tool for monitoring fires, as well as for measuring their effects on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-24 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Fernando M. Cucchietti

Current wildfire risk assessments rely on coarse hazard maps and opaque machine learning models that optimize regional accuracy while sacrificing interpretability at the decision scale. WildfireGenome addresses these gaps through three…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Chenyue Liu , Ali Mostafavi

Interpretability of learning algorithms is crucial for applications involving critical decisions, and variable importance is one of the main interpretation tools. Shapley effects are now widely used to interpret both tree ensembles and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Clément Bénard , Gérard Biau , Sébastien da Veiga , Erwan Scornet

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Wildfires pose a severe challenge to ecosystems and human settlements, exacerbated by climate change and environmental factors. Traditional wildfire modeling, while useful, often fails to adapt to the rapid dynamics of such events. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-04 Abdelrahman Ramadan

Random forests have become popular for clinical risk prediction modelling. In a case study on predicting ovarian malignancy, we observed training c-statistics close to 1. Although this suggests overfitting, performance was competitive on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-01 Lasai Barreñada , Paula Dhiman , Dirk Timmerman , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Ben Van Calster