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Accurate household electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF) is key to future and sustainable energy systems. While various studies have analyzed statistical, machine learning, or deep learning approaches for household electricity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Marcel Meyer , David Zapata , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Oliver Müller

Large language models (LLMs) have been introduced to time series forecasting (TSF) to incorporate contextual knowledge beyond numerical signals. However, existing studies question whether LLMs provide genuine benefits, often reporting…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Xin Qiu , Junlong Tong , Yirong Sun , Yunpu Ma , Wei Zhang , Xiaoyu Shen

Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a crucial role in various applications, including medical monitoring and crop growth. Despite the advancements in deep learning methods for TSF, their capacity to predict long-term series remains…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Rujia Shen , Yang Yang , Yaoxion Lin , Liangliang Liu , Boran Wang , Yi Guan , Jingchi Jiang

Deep learning is playing an increasingly important role in time series analysis. We focused on time series forecasting using attention free mechanism, a more efficient framework, and proposed a new architecture for time series prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 Hugo Inzirillo , Ludovic De Villelongue

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have borrowed the long context paradigm from natural language processing under the premise that feeding more history into the model improves forecast quality. But in stochastic domains, distant history…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Rishi Ahuja , Kumar Prateek , Simranjit Singh , Vijay Kumar

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

Interpreting complex time series forecasting models is challenging due to the temporal dependencies between time steps and the dynamic relevance of input features over time. Existing interpretation methods are limited by focusing mostly on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Md. Khairul Islam , Judy Fox

In multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF), extracting the temporal correlations of the input sequences is crucial. While popular Transformer-based predictive models can perform well, their quadratic computational complexity results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Shusen Ma , Yu Kang , Peng Bai , Yun-Bo Zhao

Time series analysis plays a vital role in various applications, for instance, healthcare, weather prediction, disaster forecast, etc. However, to obtain sufficient shapelets by a feature network is still challenging. To this end, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-01 Zhiwen Xiao , Xin Xu , Huanlai Xing , Juan Chen

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sooraj Sunil , Balakumar Balasingam

Large language models (LLMs) show promise for health applications when combined with behavioral sensing data. Traditional approaches convert sensor data into text prompts, but this process is prone to errors, computationally expensive, and…

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Time series analysis has witnessed the inspiring development from traditional autoregressive models, deep learning models, to recent Transformers and Large Language Models (LLMs). Efforts in leveraging vision models for time series analysis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Jingchao Ni , Ziming Zhao , ChengAo Shen , Hanghang Tong , Dongjin Song , Wei Cheng , Dongsheng Luo , Haifeng Chen

Over the past decade, multivariate time series classification has received great attention. We propose transforming the existing univariate time series classification models, the Long Short Term Memory Fully Convolutional Network (LSTM-FCN)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-03 Fazle Karim , Somshubra Majumdar , Houshang Darabi , Samuel Harford

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are widely used as generic feature extractors, yet the notion of non-stationarity in their embedding spaces remains poorly understood. Recent work often conflates non-stationarity with distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Jinmyeong Choi , Brad Shook , Artur Dubrawski

Big time series are increasingly available from an ever wider range of IoT-enabled sensors deployed in various environments. Significant insights can be gained by mining temporal patterns from these time series. Temporal pattern mining…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Van Long Ho , Nguyen Ho , Torben Bach Pedersen , Panagiotis Papapetrou

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at numerical forecasting but operate as black boxes lacking qualitative reasoning. Conversely, applying LLMs directly to temporal data introduces a modality gap: text tokenizers fragment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Md Atik Ahamed , Mihir Parmar , Palash Goyal , Chun-Liang Li , Qiang Cheng , Tomas Pfister , Jinsung Yoon

In this paper, we investigate the distillation of time series reasoning capabilities into small, instruction-tuned language models as a step toward building interpretable time series foundation models. Leveraging a synthetic dataset of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Matthieu Boileau , Philippe Helluy , Jeremy Pawlus , Svitlana Vyetrenko