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相关论文: Forecast2Anomaly (F2A): Adapting Multivariate Time…

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Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

Deep topological data analysis (TDA) offers a principled framework for capturing structural invariants such as connectivity and cycles that persist across scales, making it a natural fit for anomaly segmentation (AS). Unlike thresholdbased…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Ali Zia , Usman Ali , Umer Ramzan , Abdul Rehman , Abdelwahed Khamis , Wei Xiang

Anomaly inspection plays an important role in industrial manufacture. Existing anomaly inspection methods are limited in their performance due to insufficient anomaly data. Although anomaly generation methods have been proposed to augment…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Teng Hu , Jiangning Zhang , Ran Yi , Yuzhen Du , Xu Chen , Liang Liu , Yabiao Wang , Chengjie Wang

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-03 Sooyeon Lee , Huy Kang Kim

Detecting anomalies in multivariate time series(MTS) data plays an important role in many domains. The abnormal values could indicate events, medical abnormalities,cyber-attacks, or faulty devices which if left undetected could lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Usman Anjum , Samuel Lin , Justin Zhan

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Semantic anomalies are contextually invalid or unusual combinations of familiar visual elements that can cause undefined behavior and failures in system-level reasoning for autonomous systems. This work explores semantic anomaly detection…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Max Peter Ronecker , Matthew Foutter , Amine Elhafsi , Daniele Gammelli , Ihor Barakaiev , Marco Pavone , Daniel Watzenig

Time series analysis plays a vital role in fields such as finance, healthcare, industry, and meteorology, underpinning key tasks including classification, forecasting, and anomaly detection. Although deep learning models have achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhiyuan Zhao , Feiping Nie , Junyu Gao , Xuelong Li

Among recent developments in time series forecasting methods, deep forecasting models have gained popularity as they can utilize hidden feature patterns in time series to improve forecasting performance. Nevertheless, the majority of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-13 Zhendong Wang , Ioanna Miliou , Isak Samsten , Panagiotis Papapetrou

AI systems are notorious for their fragility; minor input changes can potentially cause major output swings. When such systems are deployed in critical areas like finance, the consequences of their uncertain behavior could be severe. In…

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) has been a long-standing pillar problem in Web-scale systems and online infrastructures, such as service reliability monitoring, system fault diagnosis, and performance optimization. Large language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Xiongxiao Xu , Haoran Wang , Yueqing Liang , Philip S. Yu , Yue Zhao , Kai Shu

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) achieve strong forecast accuracy, yet accuracy alone does not determine practical value. The form of a forecast -- point, quantile, parametric, or trajectory ensemble -- fundamentally constrains which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Alvaro Perez-Diaz , James C. Loach , Danielle E. Toutoungi , Lee Middleton

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have become increasingly popular for zero-shot forecasting. However, for a new time series domain not fully covered by the pretraining set, performance can suffer. Therefore, when a practitioner cares…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Thomas L. Lee , Edoardo M. Ponti , Amos Storkey

Time series forecasting and anomaly detection are common tasks for practitioners in industries such as retail, manufacturing, advertising and energy. Two unique challenges stand out: (1) efficiently and accurately forecasting time series or…

Recent algorithms of time-series anomaly detection have been evaluated by applying a Point Adjustment (PA) protocol. However, the PA protocol has a problem of overestimating the performance of the detection algorithms because it only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Yongwan Gim , Kyushik Min

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Neural networks follow a gradient-based learning scheme, adapting their mapping parameters by back-propagating the output loss. Samples unlike the ones seen during training cause a different gradient distribution. Based on this intuition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Jan-Philipp Schulze , Philip Sperl , Ana Răduţoiu , Carla Sagebiel , Konstantin Böttinger

The time-series anomaly detection is one of the most fundamental tasks for time-series. Unlike the time-series forecasting and classification, the time-series anomaly detection typically requires unsupervised (or self-supervised) training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-30 Haksoo Lim , Sewon Park , Minjung Kim , Jaehoon Lee , Seonkyu Lim , Noseong Park
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