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We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-26 Michael P. Leung

We prove an elementary yet useful inequality bounding the maximal value of certain linear programs. This leads directly to a bound on the martingale difference for arbitrarily dependent random variables, providing a generalization of some…

泛函分析 · 数学 2007-05-23 Leonid Kontorovich

This paper studies a large number of homogeneous Markov decision processes where the transition probabilities and costs are coupled in the empirical distribution of states (also called mean-field). The state of each process is not known to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-03 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

Choosing models from a hypothesis space is a frequent task in approximation theory and inverse problems. Cross-validation is a classical tool in the learner's repertoire to compare the goodness of fit for different reconstruction models.…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-02-24 Felix Bartel , Ralf Hielscher

Real-world data often exhibits sequential dependence, across diverse domains such as human behavior, medicine, finance, and climate modeling. Probabilistic methods capture the inherent uncertainty associated with prediction in these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-08 Alex Boyd

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Stochastic iterative methods are useful in a variety of large-scale numerical linear algebraic, machine learning, and statistical problems, in part due to their low-memory footprint. They are frequently used in a variety of applications,…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-27 Toby Anderson , Max Collins , Jamie Haddock , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

For obtaining causal inferences that are objective, and therefore have the best chance of revealing scientific truths, carefully designed and executed randomized experiments are generally considered to be the gold standard. Observational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-12 Donald B. Rubin

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

Representation learning is a key technique in modern machine learning that enables models to identify meaningful patterns in complex data. However, different methods tend to extract distinct aspects of the data, and relying on a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Wenhui Li , Shijin Gong , Xinyu Zhang

The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed. However, in a number of settings, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Roshni Sahoo , Lihua Lei , Stefan Wager

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We establish a Bernstein-type inequality for a class of stochastic processes that include the classical geometrically $\phi$-mixing processes, Rio's generalization of these processes, as well as many time-discrete dynamical systems. Modulo…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-14 H. Hang , I. Steinwart

We present a tail inequality for suprema of empirical processes generated by variables with finite $\psi_\alpha$ norms and apply it to some geometrically ergodic Markov chains to derive similar estimates for empirical processes of such…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-08 Radosław Adamczak

A randomized trial and an analysis of observational data designed to emulate the trial sample observations separately, but have the same eligibility criteria, collect information on some shared baseline covariates, and compare the effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson , James M. Robins , Miguel A. Hernán

Estimating causal effects from observational network data is a significant but challenging problem. Existing works in causal inference for observational network data lack an analysis of the generalization bound, which can theoretically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-09 Ruichu Cai , Zeqin Yang , Weilin Chen , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao

Neural networks have become ubiquitous tools for solving signal and image processing problems, and they often outperform standard approaches. Nevertheless, training neural networks is a challenging task in many applications. The prevalent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-28 Patrick L. Combettes , Jean-Christophe Pesquet , Audrey Repetti

Class imbalance in real-world data poses a common bottleneck for machine learning tasks, since achieving good generalization on under-represented examples is often challenging. Mitigation strategies, such as under or oversampling the data…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-02-03 Emanuele Loffredo , Mauro Pastore , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson