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Recent time-series foundation models exhibit strong abilities to predict physical systems. These abilities include zero-shot forecasting, in which a model forecasts future states of a system given only a short trajectory as context, without…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Recent works have demonstrated the effectiveness of adapting pre-trained language models (LMs) for forecasting time series in the low-data regime. We build upon these findings by analyzing the effective transfer from language models to time…

In the field of computer vision, fine-tuning pre-trained models has become a prevalent strategy for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization tasks. Different from most prior work that has focused on advancing learning algorithms, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Hiroki Naganuma , Ryuichiro Hataya , Kotaro Yoshida , Ioannis Mitliagkas

What sets timeseries analysis apart from other machine learning exercises is that time representation becomes a primary aspect of the experiment setup, as it must adequately represent the temporal relations that are relevant for the…

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

This paper investigates the critical problem of representation similarity evolution during cross-domain transfer learning, with particular focus on understanding why pre-trained models maintain effectiveness when adapted to medical imaging…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Wenqiang Zu , Shenghao Xie , Hao Chen , Lei Ma

Foundation models for tabular data, such as the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN), are pre-trained on a massive number of synthetic datasets generated by structural causal models (SCM). They leverage in-context learning to offer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Qinyi Liu , Mohammad Khalil , Naman Goel

Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-16 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

We consider statistical inference for errors-in-variables regression models with dependent observations under the high dimensionality of the error covariance matrix. It is tempting to prewhiten the model and data that had led to efficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Jingkun Qiu , Hanyue Chen , Song Xi Chen

Pre-trained transformer language models have shown remarkable performance on a variety of NLP tasks. However, recent research has suggested that phrase-level representations in these models reflect heavy influences of lexical content, but…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Lang Yu , Allyson Ettinger

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in machine learning, as it has a wide range of applications including but not limited to forecasting electricity consumption, traffic, and air quality. Traditional forecasting models rely on rolling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Shereen Elsayed , Daniela Thyssens , Ahmed Rashed , Hadi Samer Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Video foundation models achieve strong performance across many video understanding tasks, but typically require large-scale pre-training on massive video datasets, resulting in substantial data and compute costs. In contrast, modern image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Svetlana Orlova , Niccolò Cavagnero , Gijs Dubbelman

Task embeddings in multi-layer perceptrons for multi-task learning and inductive transfer learning in renewable power forecasts have recently been introduced. In many cases, this approach improves the forecast error and reduces the required…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , Bernhard Sick

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) were recently proposed as a new paradigm for machine learning. Instead of training the network to an observed training set, a fixed model is pre-trained offline on small, simulated training sets from a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-19 Thomas Nagler

Leveraging class semantic descriptions and examples of known objects, zero-shot learning makes it possible to train a recognition model for an object class whose examples are not available. In this paper, we propose a novel zero-shot…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-08-22 Soravit Changpinyo , Wei-Lun Chao , Fei Sha

Can language-pretrained transformers become effective time-series forecasters, and why? In this paper, we show that cross-modal transfer arises because language pretraining preconditions time series training with a reusable manifold. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Alexis Roger , Prateek Humane , Zhenghan Tai , Gwen Legate , Andrei Mircea , Vasilii Feofanov , Irina Rish

Much of model-based reinforcement learning involves learning a model of an agent's world, and training an agent to leverage this model to perform a task more efficiently. While these models are demonstrably useful for agents, every…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-11-01 C. Daniel Freeman , Luke Metz , David Ha

Sampling biases can cause distribution shifts between train and test datasets for supervised learning tasks, obscuring our ability to understand the generalization capacity of a model. This is especially important considering the wide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-05 Max Vargas , Adam Tsou , Andrew Engel , Tony Chiang

Deep learning models have grown increasingly popular in time series applications. However, the large quantity of newly proposed architectures, together with often contradictory empirical results, makes it difficult to assess which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Valentina Moretti , Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi