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Time series forecasting traditionally relies on unimodal numerical inputs, which often struggle to capture high-level semantic patterns due to their dense and unstructured nature. While recent approaches have explored representing time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Sixun Dong , Wei Fan , Teresa Wu , Yanjie Fu

This paper focuses on the problem of semi-supervised domain adaptation for time-series forecasting, which is underexplored in literatures, despite being often encountered in practice. Existing methods on time-series domain adaptation mainly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Tom Z. J Fu , Zhifeng Hao , Kun Zhang

The decomposition of time series into components is an important task that helps to understand time series and can enable better forecasting. Nowadays, with high sampling rates leading to high-frequency data (such as daily, hourly, or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-29 Kasun Bandara , Rob J Hyndman , Christoph Bergmeir

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

Generating high-quality synthetic time series is a fundamental yet challenging task across domains such as forecasting and anomaly detection, where real data can be scarce, noisy, or costly to collect. Unlike static data generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Recent research demonstrates that linear models achieve forecasting performance competitive with complex architectures, yet methodologies for enhancing linear models remain underexplored. Motivated by the hypothesis that distinct time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Zipo Jibao , Yingyi Fu , Xinyang Chen , Guoting Chen

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

Real-world systems are often complex, dynamic, and nonlinear. Understanding the dynamics of a system from its observed time series is key to the prediction and control of the system's behavior. While most existing techniques tacitly assume…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-19 Bing Wang , Jie Sun , Adilson E. Motter

A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Guowei Zhang , Tao Ren , Yifan Yang

Time series forecasting has always been a thought-provoking topic in the field of machine learning. Machine learning scientists define a time series as a set of observations recorded over consistent time steps. And, time series forecasting…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Payal Kaushik , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra , C V Sridhar

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar data plays a crucial role in extreme weather prediction and has broad implications for disaster management. Despite progresses have been made based on deep learning, two key challenges of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-08 Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Peng Ye , Wanghan Xu , Na Liu , Jianhua Dai , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

Time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as weather, traffic, electricity, and energy predictions. Currently, common time series forecasting methods are based on Transformers. However, existing approaches primarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Zixu Wang , Hongbin Dong , Xiaoping Zhang

Deep learning and pre-trained models have shown great success in time series forecasting. However, in the tourism industry, time series data often exhibit a leading time property, presenting a 2D structure. This introduces unique challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-25 Yuhua Liao , Zetian Wang , Peng Wei , Qiangqiang Nie , Zhenhua Zhang

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen