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Reliable nowcasting of extreme precipitation remains difficult because convective systems are strongly nonlinear, multiscale, and nonstationary in 3D. Radar is the backbone of nowcasting, yet existing methods struggle to predict extremes:…

Precipitation nowcasting is a short-range forecast of rain/snow (up to 2 hours), often displayed on top of the geographical map by the weather service. Modern precipitation nowcasting algorithms rely on the extrapolation of observations by…

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Precipitation nowcasting plays a pivotal role in socioeconomic sectors, especially in severe convective weather warnings. Although notable progress has been achieved by approaches mining the spatiotemporal correlations with deep learning,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Junchao Gong , Siwei Tu , Weidong Yang , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Wenlong Zhang , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Diffusion models are widely used in image generation because they can generate high-quality and realistic samples. This is in contrast to generative adversarial networks (GANs) and variational autoencoders (VAEs), which have some…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Xudong Ling , Chaorong Li , Fengqing Qin , Peng Yang , Yuanyuan Huang

This work introduces GPTCast, a generative deep-learning method for ensemble nowcast of radar-based precipitation, inspired by advancements in large language models (LLMs). We employ a GPT model as a forecaster to learn spatiotemporal…

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to precisely predict the short-term rainfall intensity of a local region, is gaining increasing attention in the artificial intelligence community. Existing deep learning-based algorithms use a single…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Yuan Cao , Qiuying Li , Hongming Shan , Zhizhong Huang , Lei Chen , Leiming Ma , Junping Zhang

Designing early warning system for precipitation requires accurate short-term forecasting system. Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events, and hence such systems can prevent disasters and loss of life.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-11 Ajitabh Kumar

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Hail nowcasting is a considerable contributor to meteorological disasters and there is a great need to mitigate its socioeconomic effects through precise forecast that has high resolution, long lead times and local details with large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Haonan Shi , Long Tian , Jie Tao , Yufei Li , Liming Wang , Xiyang Liu

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

In recent years traditional numerical methods for accurate weather prediction have been increasingly challenged by deep learning methods. Numerous historical datasets used for short and medium-range weather forecasts are typically organized…

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Precipitation nowcasting is a vital spatio-temporal prediction task for meteorological applications but faces challenges due to the chaotic property of precipitation systems. Existing methods predominantly rely on single-source radar data…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Chunlei Shi , Hao Li , Yufeng Zhu , Boyu Liu , Yongchao Feng , Zengliang Zang , Hongbin Wang , Yanlan Yang , Dan Niu

Deep learning models have achieved remarkable progress in precipitation prediction. However, they still face significant challenges in accurately capturing spatial details of radar images, particularly in regions of high precipitation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Li Chaorong , Ling Xudong , Yang Qiang , Qin Fengqing , Huang Yuanyuan

Precipitation nowcasting remains challenging due to the highly localized, rapidly evolving, and heterogeneous nature of atmospheric dynamics. Although recent methods increasingly adopt attention-based architectures in both unimodal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Zexin Hu , Sen Zhang , Patrick Filippi , Xiaogang Zhu , Allen Benter , Thomas Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Precipitation nowcasting -- the short-term prediction of rainfall using recent radar observations -- is critical for weather-sensitive sectors such as transportation, agriculture, and disaster mitigation. While recent deep learning models…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Peter Pavlík , Marc Schleiss , Anna Bou Ezzeddine , Viera Rozinajová