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Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operation. Yet, it remains largely a dataset-specific task, requiring comprehensive training data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Marco Obermeier , Marco Pruckner , Florian Haselbeck , Andreas Zeiselmair

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Learning time series foundation models has been shown to be a promising approach for zero-shot time series forecasting across diverse time series domains. Insofar as scaling has been a critical driver of performance of foundation models in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Xinghong Fu , Yanhong Li , Georgios Papaioannou , Yoon Kim

Unlike natural language processing and computer vision, the development of Foundation Models (FMs) for time series forecasting is blocked due to data scarcity. While recent efforts are focused on building such FMs by unlocking the potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Qingxiang Liu , Xu Liu , Chenghao Liu , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a promising approach for time series forecasting. While effective, FMs typically remain fixed during deployment due to the high computational costs of learning them online. Consequently, deployed FMs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Thomas L. Lee , William Toner , Rajkarn Singh , Artjom Joosen , Martin Asenov

Deep learning for time series forecasting has seen significant advancements over the past decades. However, despite the success of large-scale pre-training in language and vision domains, pre-trained time series models remain limited in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Xiaoming Shi , Shiyu Wang , Yuqi Nie , Dianqi Li , Zhou Ye , Qingsong Wen , Ming Jin

Financial time series forecasting presents significant challenges due to complex nonlinear relationships, temporal dependencies, variable interdependencies and limited data availability, particularly for tasks involving low-frequency data,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-11 Ben A. Marconi

Time series foundation models have demonstrated strong performance in zero-shot learning, making them well-suited for predicting rapidly evolving patterns in real-world applications where relevant training data are scarce. However, most of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Haoyu Ma , Yushu Chen , Wenlai Zhao , Jinzhe Yang , Yingsheng Ji , Xinghua Xu , Xiaozhu Liu , Hao Jing , Shengzhuo Liu , Guangwen Yang

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Scaling laws motivate the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) that pre-train vast parameters and achieve remarkable zero-shot forecasting performance. Surprisingly, even after fine-tuning, TSFMs cannot consistently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen , Zhaoyang Liu , Xue Wang , Jiaji Deng

Decision-making in building energy systems critically depends on the predictive accuracy of relevant time-series models. In scenarios lacking extensive data from a target building, foundation models (FMs) represent a promising technology…

While LLMs have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series forecasting, their practical deployment remains constrained by excessive computational demands and memory footprints. Existing LLM-based approaches typically suffer from three…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Haoran Fan , Bin Li , Yixuan Weng , Shoujun Zhou

Many machine learning (ML) models are integrated within the context of a larger system as part of a key component for decision making processes. Concretely, predictive models are often employed in estimating the parameters for the input…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Bing Zhang , Yuya Jeremy Ong , Taiga Nakamura

Inspired by recent advances in large language models, foundation models have been developed for zero-shot time series forecasting, enabling prediction on datasets unseen during pretraining. These large-scale models, trained on vast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Morad Laglil , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier , Bertrand Pracca

In the fields of computer vision (CV) and remote sensing (RS), foundational models typically follow the "big data + large model parameters" paradigm. However, the application of this strategy in seismic data processing faces several…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-03-14 Xintong Dong , Wenshuo Yu , Jun Lin , Zhenbo Guo , Hongzhou Wang , Jianhao Yang

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

As global energy systems transit to clean energy, accurate renewable generation and renewable demand forecasting is imperative for effective grid management. Foundation Models (FMs) can help improve forecasting of renewable generation and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-01 Md Meftahul Ferdaus , Tanmoy Dam , Md Rasel Sarkar , Moslem Uddin , Sreenatha G. Anavatti

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Foundation models have transformed natural language processing and computer vision, and a rapidly growing literature on time-series foundation models (TSFMs) seeks to replicate this success in forecasting. While recent open-source models…

Financial time series forecasting is central to trading, portfolio optimization, and risk management, yet it remains challenging due to noisy, non-stationary, and heterogeneous data. Recent advances in time series foundation models (TSFMs),…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-25 Eghbal Rahimikia , Hao Ni , Weiguan Wang
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