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Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-05 Jerry Lin , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Tom Beucler , Sungduk Yu , Michael Pritchard

FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is designed to respect spherical geometry and to accurately model the…

A significant challenge in seasonal climate prediction is whether a prediction can beat climatology. We hereby present results from two data-driven models - a convolutional (CNN) and a recurrent (RNN) neural network - that predict 2 m…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-02-02 Etienne E. Vos , Ashley Gritzman , Sibusisiwe Makhanya , Thabang Mashinini , Campbell D. Watson

Automated machine learning (AutoML) streamlines the creation of ML models. While most methods select the "best" model based on predictive quality, it's crucial to acknowledge other aspects, such as interpretability and resource consumption.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-21 Raphael Fischer , Amal Saadallah

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

The representation of nonlinear sub-grid processes, especially clouds, has been a major source of uncertainty in climate models for decades. Cloud-resolving models better represent many of these processes and can now be run globally but…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-08 Stephan Rasp , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) methods are increasingly replacing traditional methods in many domains involved with important decision making activities. DL techniques tailor-made for specific tasks such as image recognition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Hansika Hewamalage , Klaus Ackermann , Christoph Bergmeir

Advanced diagnostic instruments are crucial for the accurate detection and treatment of lung diseases, which affect millions of individuals globally. This study examines the effectiveness of deep learning and transfer learning models using…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-23 Shuvashis Sarker , Shamim Rahim Refat , Faika Fairuj Preotee , Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Raihan Tanvir

Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is critical for understanding factors that drive weather and climate outcomes. Ensembles provide predictive uncertainty estimates and can be decomposed physically, but both physics and machine…

Early Warning Signals (EWSs) are vital for implementing preventive measures before a disease turns into a pandemic. While new diseases exhibit unique behaviors, they often share fundamental characteristics from a dynamical systems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Reza Miry , Amit K. Chakraborty , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang , Tianyu Guan , Pouria Ramazi

The stable periodic patterns present in time series data serve as the foundation for conducting long-horizon forecasts. In this paper, we pioneer the exploration of explicitly modeling this periodicity to enhance the performance of models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Xinyi Hu , Wentai Wu , Ruichao Mo , Haocheng Zhong

The environmental impacts of global warming driven by methane (CH4) emissions have catalyzed significant research initiatives in developing novel technologies that enable proactive and rapid detection of CH4. Several data-driven machine…

The electric grid is a key enabling infrastructure for the ambitious transition towards carbon neutrality as we grapple with climate change. With deepening penetration of renewable energy resources and electrified transportation, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Xiangtian Zheng , Nan Xu , Loc Trinh , Dongqi Wu , Tong Huang , S. Sivaranjani , Yan Liu , Le Xie

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

In recent years, great progress has been made in the field of forecasting meteorological variables. Recently, deep learning architectures have made a major breakthrough in forecasting the daily average temperature over a ten-day horizon.…

The prediction of the electric field (E-field) plays a crucial role in monitoring radiofrequency electromagnetic field (RF-EMF) exposure induced by cellular networks. In this paper, a deep learning framework is proposed to predict E-field…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-06 Yarui Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Joe Wiart

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…