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Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

During various stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, countries implemented diverse vaccine management approaches, influenced by variations in infrastructure and socio-economic conditions. This article provides a comprehensive overview of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-27 Shibshankar Dey , Ali Kaan Kurbanzade , Esma S. Gel , Joseph Mihaljevic , Sanjay Mehrotra

A crucial aspect of managing a public health crisis is to effectively balance prevention and mitigation strategies, while taking their socio-economic impact into account. In particular, determining the influence of different…

In this paper, we present a decision support framework for optimizing multiple aspects of vaccine distribution across a multitier cold chain network. We propose two multi-period optimization formulations within this framework: first to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-01-12 Shanmukhi Sripada , Ayush Jain , Prasanna Ramamoorthy , Varun Ramamohan

Vaccine supply chain optimization can benefit from hierarchical time series forecasting, when grouping the vaccines by type or location. However, forecasts of different hierarchy levels become incoherent when higher levels do not match the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Bhanu Angam , Alessandro Beretta , Eli De Poorter , Matthieu Duvinage , Daniel Peralta

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing…

SARS-COV-19 is the most prominent issue which many countries face today. The frequent changes in infections, recovered and deaths represents the dynamic nature of this pandemic. It is very crucial to predict the spreading rate of this virus…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-02-01 Sadhana Tiwari , Ritesh Chandra , Sonali Agarwal

This study presents a new risk-averse multi-stage stochastic epidemics-ventilator-logistics compartmental model to address the resource allocation challenges of mitigating COVID-19. This epidemiological logistics model involves the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Xuecheng Yin , I. Esra Buyuktahtakin , Bhumi P. Patel

With the continuous rise of the COVID-19 cases worldwide, it is imperative to ensure that all those vulnerable countries lacking vaccine resources can receive sufficient support to contain the risks. COVAX is such an initiative operated by…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-01-20 Navpreet Kaur , Jason Hughes , Juntao Chen

The rapid spread of the Coronavirus SARS-2 is a major challenge that led almost all governments worldwide to take drastic measures to respond to the tragedy. Chief among those measures is the massive lockdown of entire countries and cities,…

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

We propose a mathematical framework, based on conic geometric programming, to control a susceptible-infected-susceptible viral spreading process taking place in a directed contact network with unknown contact rates. We assume that we have…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-12-09 Shuo Han , Victor M. Preciado , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Vaccines have proven effective in mitigating the threat of severe infections and deaths during outbreaks of infectious diseases. However, vaccine hesitancy (VH) complicates disease spread prediction and healthcare resource assessment across…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-10 Hieu Bui , Sandra Eksioglu , Ruben Proano , Haoming Shen

A year following the initial COVID-19 outbreak in China, many countries have approved emergency vaccines. Public-health practitioners and policymakers must understand the predicted populational willingness for vaccines and implement…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Xingzuo Zhou , Yiang Li

Controlling and understanding epidemic outbreaks has recently drawn great interest in a large spectrum of research communities. Vaccination is one of the most well-established and effective strategies in order to contain an epidemic. In the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan

The need to forecast COVID-19 related variables continues to be pressing as the epidemic unfolds. Different efforts have been made, with compartmental models in epidemiology and statistical models such as AutoRegressive Integrated Moving…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-07 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Juan F. Rendon-Sanchez

Recent pandemics have highlighted vulnerabilities in our global economic systems, especially supply chains. Possible future pandemic raises a dilemma for businesses owners between short-term profitability and long-term supply chain…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Teddy Lazebnik

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

The outbreak of COVID-19 led to a record-breaking race to develop a vaccine. However, the limited vaccine capacity creates another massive challenge: how to distribute vaccines to mitigate the near-end impact of the pandemic? In the United…

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