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相关论文: Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effects in Stra…

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Real-world applications require RL algorithms to act safely. During learning process, it is likely that the agent executes sub-optimal actions that may lead to unsafe/poor states of the system. Exploration is particularly brittle in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-17 Elena Smirnova , Elvis Dohmatob , Jérémie Mary

Post-click conversion, as a strong signal indicating the user preference, is salutary for building recommender systems. However, accurately estimating the post-click conversion rate (CVR) is challenging due to the selection bias, i.e., the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Siyuan Guo , Lixin Zou , Yiding Liu , Wenwen Ye , Suqi Cheng , Shuaiqiang Wang , Hechang Chen , Dawei Yin , Yi Chang

In this paper, we address the problem of predicting a response variable in the context of both, spatially correlated and high-dimensional data. To reduce the dimensionality of the predictor variables, we apply the sufficient dimension…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Liliana Forzani , Rodrigo García Arancibia , Antonella Gieco , Pamela Llop , Anne Yao

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

Many practical decision-making problems in economics and healthcare seek to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. The Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML) is one of the prevalent methods to estimate ATE in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-07 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Shumin Ma , Zhiri Yuan , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

Interference occurs when the treatment (or exposure) of one individual affects the outcomes of others. In some settings it may be reasonable to assume individuals can be partitioned into clusters such that there is no interference between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Lan Liu , Michael G. Hudgens , Bradley Saul , John D. Clemens , Mohammad Ali , Michael E. Emch

Causal inference concerns not only the average effect of the treatment on the outcome but also the underlying mechanism through an intermediate variable of interest. Principal stratification characterizes such a mechanism by targeting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Zhichao Jiang , Shu Yang , Peng Ding

We review distributionally robust optimization (DRO), a principled approach for constructing statistical estimators that hedge against the impact of deviations in the expected loss between the training and deployment environments. Many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Xuhui Zhang

In many game-theoretic settings, agents are challenged with taking decisions against the uncertain behavior exhibited by others. Often, this uncertainty arises from multiple sources, e.g., incomplete information, limited computation,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Nicolas Lanzetti , Sylvain Fricker , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Dario Paccagnan

We consider the estimation of the average treatment effect in the treated as a function of baseline covariates, where there is a valid (conditional) instrument. We describe two doubly robust (DR) estimators: a locally efficient g-estimator,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Karla DiazOrdaz , Rhian Daniel , Noemi Kreif

This work studies the distributionally robust evaluation of expected values over temporal data. A set of alternative measures is characterized by the causal optimal transport. We prove the strong duality and recast the causality constraint…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

This paper presents a novel distributed robust optimization scheme for steering distributions of multi-agent systems under stochastic and deterministic uncertainty. Robust optimization is a subfield of optimization which aims to discover an…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The pursuit of robustness has recently been a popular topic in reinforcement learning (RL) research, yet the existing methods generally suffer from efficiency issues that obstruct their real-world implementation. In this paper, we introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Yang Hu , Haitong Ma , Bo Dai , Na Li

Machine learning methods, particularly the double machine learning (DML) estimator (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), are increasingly popular for the estimation of the average treatment effect (ATE). However, datasets often exhibit unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-12 Daniele Ballinari

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Fei He , Zhangyi Hu

Longitudinal data often involve heterogeneity, sparse signals, and contamination from response outliers or high-leverage observations especially in biomedical science. Existing methods usually address only part of this problem, either…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Yuyao Wang , Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Mengfei Ran

We study the problem of Distributionally Robust Constrained RL (DRC-RL), where the goal is to maximize the expected reward subject to environmental distribution shifts and constraints. This setting captures situations where training and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Zhengfei Zhang , Kishan Panaganti , Laixi Shi , Yanan Sui , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

To overcome the sim-to-real gap in reinforcement learning (RL), learned policies must maintain robustness against environmental uncertainties. While robust RL has been widely studied in single-agent regimes, in multi-agent environments, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Laixi Shi , Eric Mazumdar , Yuejie Chi , Adam Wierman

We propose a simple and general framework for nonparametric estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under fairness constraints. Under standard regularity conditions, we show that the resulting estimators possess the double robustness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-21 Kwangho Kim , José R. Zubizarreta