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The accurate prediction of survival times for patients with severe diseases remains a critical challenge despite recent advances in artificial intelligence. This study introduces "SurvTimeSurvival: Survival Analysis On Patients With…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-17 Hung Le , Ong Eng-Jon , Bober Miroslaw

Mathematical modeling of disease outbreaks can infer the future trajectory of an epidemic, which can inform policy decisions. Another task is inferring the origin of a disease, which is relatively difficult with current mathematical models.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Mehrad Ansari , David Soriano-Paños , Gourab Ghoshal , Andrew D. White

Traffic prediction is a challenging spatio-temporal forecasting problem that involves highly complex spatio-temporal correlations. This paper proposes a Multi-level Multi-view Augmented Spatio-temporal Transformer (LVSTformer) for traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Jiaqi Lin , Qianqian Ren

Infectious diseases on farms pose both public and animal health risks, so understanding how they spread between farms is crucial for developing disease control strategies to prevent future outbreaks. We develop novel Bayesian nonparametric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-24 R. G. Seymour , T. Kypraios , P. D. O'Neill , T. J. Hagenaars

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Predicting motion of surrounding agents is critical to real-world applications of tactical path planning for autonomous driving. Due to the complex temporal dependencies and social interactions of agents, on-line trajectory prediction is a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Jingwen Zhao , Xuanpeng Li , Qifan Xue , Weigong Zhang

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

Event-Based Models (EBMs) infer biomarker progression from cross-sectional data but typically only as ordinal sequences and rely on rigid model assumptions. We propose \textsc{Tempo}, a Transformer architecture that learns both ordinal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Hongtao Hao , Joseph L. Austerweil

Early and accurate prediction of solar active region (AR) emergence is crucial for space weather forecasting. Building on established Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based approaches for forecasting the continuum intensity decrease associated…

Human trajectory forecasting requires capturing the multimodal nature of pedestrian behavior. However, existing approaches suffer from prior misalignment. Their learned or fixed priors often fail to capture the full distribution of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Chao Li , Rui Zhang , Siyuan Huang , Xian Zhong , Hongbo Jiang

This study focuses on multi-step spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting for the Norwegian continental shelf. The study aims to leverage spatial dependencies through the relative physical location of different measurement stations to improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-02 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

This study addresses the challenges of symptom evolution complexity and insufficient temporal dependency modeling in Parkinson's disease progression prediction. It proposes a unified prediction framework that integrates structural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-22 Jiacheng Hu , Bo Zhang , Ting Xu , Haifeng Yang , Min Gao

Accurate disease trajectory prediction is critical for early intervention, resource allocation, and improving long-term outcomes. While electronic health records (EHRs) provide a rich longitudinal view of patient health in clinical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yunying Zhu , Andrew R Weckstein , Kueiyu Joshua Lin , Jie Yang

The systematic study of large-scale networks has unveiled the ubiquitous presence of connectivity patterns characterized by large scale heterogeneities and unbounded statistical fluctuations. These features affect dramatically the behavior…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Vespignani

Flu circulates all over the world. The worldwide infection places a substantial burden on people's health every year. Regardless of the characteristic of the worldwide circulation of flu, most previous studies focused on regional prediction…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Jie Zhang , Kazumitsu Nawata , Hongyan Wu

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

Traffic prediction remains a key challenge in spatio-temporal data mining, despite progress in deep learning. Accurate forecasting is hindered by the complex influence of external factors such as traffic accidents and regulations, often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Hongjun Wang , Jiawei Yong , Jiawei Wang , Shintaro Fukushima , Renhe Jiang

Motivated by foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak data from Turkey, we develop a model to estimate disease risk based on a space-time record of outbreaks. The spread of infectious disease in geographical units depends on both transmission…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Xiaoxiao Li , Matthew Ferrari , Michael J. Tildesley , Murali Haran