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Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

PV power forecasting models are predominantly based on machine learning algorithms which do not provide any insight into or explanation about their predictions (black boxes). Therefore, their direct implementation in environments where…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Georgios Mitrentsis , Hendrik Lens

Deep time series models continue to improve predictive performance, yet their deployment remains limited by their black-box nature. In response, existing interpretability approaches in the field keep focusing on explaining the internal…

Recent studies have adopted pre-trained language models, such as CodeT5 and CodeGPT, for automated program generation tasks like code generation, repair, and translation. Numerous language model-based approaches have been proposed and…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Yue Liu , Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Yonghui Liu , Li Li

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance on natural language tasks, but their decision-making processes remain largely opaque. Existing explanation methods either suffer from limited faithfulness to the model's…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Bowen Wei , Mehrdad Fazli , Ziwei Zhu

Accurate prediction of solar energetic particle events is vital for safeguarding satellites, astronauts, and space-based infrastructure. Modern space weather monitoring generates massive volumes of high-frequency, multivariate time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-15 Pranjal Patil , Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin

Feature selection of high-dimensional labeled data with limited observations is critical for making powerful predictive modeling accessible, scalable, and interpretable for domain experts. Spectroscopy data, which records the interaction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Frantishek Akulich , Hadis Anahideh , Manaf Sheyyab , Dhananjay Ambre

The challenge of creating interpretable models has been taken up by two main research communities: ML researchers primarily focused on lower-level explainability methods that suit the needs of engineers, and HCI researchers who have more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-16 Juan D. Pinto , Luc Paquette

Model agnostic feature attribution algorithms (such as SHAP and LIME) are ubiquitous techniques for explaining the decisions of complex classification models, such as deep neural networks. However, since complex classification models…

Recently, Transformer-based models for long sequence time series forecasting have demonstrated promising results. The self-attention mechanism as the core component of these Transformer-based models exhibits great potential in capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Zhicheng Zhang , Yong Wang , Shaoqi Tan , Bowei Xia , Yujie Luo

Tree ensemble models like random forests and gradient boosting machines are widely used in machine learning due to their excellent predictive performance. However, a high-performance ensemble consisting of a large number of decision trees…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Zebin Yang , Agus Sudjianto , Xiaoming Li , Aijun Zhang

As acute climate change impacts weather and climate variability, there is increased demand for robust climate impact model predictions from which forecasts of the impacts can be derived. The quality of those predictions are limited by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Julian Kuehnert , Deborah McGlynn , Sekou L. Remy , Aisha Walcott-Bryant , Anne Jones

Being able to interpret, or explain, the predictions made by a machine learning model is of fundamental importance. This is especially true when there is interest in deploying data-driven models to make high-stakes decisions, e.g. in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-01 An-phi Nguyen , María Rodríguez Martínez

An interpretable model or method has several appealing features, such as reliability to adversarial examples, transparency of decision-making, and communication facilitator. However, interpretability is a subjective concept, and even its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

To harness the power of large language models in safety-critical domains, we need to ensure the explainability of their predictions. However, despite the significant attention to model interpretability, there remains an unexplored domain in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Kenza Amara , Rita Sevastjanova , Mennatallah El-Assady

The widespread integration of deep neural networks in developing data-driven surrogate models for high-fidelity simulations of complex physical systems highlights the critical necessity for robust uncertainty quantification techniques and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Pratyush Kumar Singh , Kathryn A. Farrell-Maupin , Danial Faghihi

Numerous algorithms have been proposed for detecting anomalies (outliers, novelties) in an unsupervised manner. Unfortunately, it is not trivial, in general, to understand why a given sample (record) is labelled as an anomaly and thus…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Nikolaos Myrtakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos , Vassilis Christophides
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