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Time series data is fundamental to decision-making across many domains including healthcare, finance, power systems, and logistics. However, analyzing this data correctly often requires incorporating unstructured contextual information,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Felix Parker , Nimeesha Chan , Chi Zhang , Kimia Ghobadi

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable performance across diverse tasks without domain-specific training, fueling interest in their potential for time-series forecasting. While LLMs have shown potential in zero-shot forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Junwoo Park , Hyuck Lee , Dohyun Lee , Daehoon Gwak , Jaegul Choo

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Time series forecasting plays a significant role in finance, energy, meteorology, and IoT applications. Recent studies have leveraged the generalization capabilities of large language models (LLMs) to adapt to time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Hao Liu , Xiaoxing Zhang , Chun Yang , Xiaobin Zhu

Time series data, including univariate and multivariate ones, are characterized by unique composition and complex multi-scale temporal variations. They often require special consideration of decomposition and multi-scale modeling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shuhan Zhong , Sizhe Song , Weipeng Zhuo , Guanyao Li , Yang Liu , S. -H. Gary Chan

Prediction for high dimensional time series is a challenging task due to the curse of dimensionality problem. Classical parametric models like ARIMA or VAR require strong modeling assumptions and time stationarity and are often…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Nikita Puchkin , Aleksandr Timofeev , Vladimir Spokoiny

Time series forecasting is essential in a wide range of real world applications. Recently, frequency-domain methods have attracted increasing interest for their ability to capture global dependencies. However, when applied to non-stationary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Zhongde An , Jinhong You , Jiyanglin Li , Yiming Tang , Wen Li , Heming Du , Shouguo Du

Decomposing complex time series into trend, seasonality, and remainder components is an important task to facilitate time series anomaly detection and forecasting. Although numerous methods have been proposed, there are still many time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-06 Qingsong Wen , Jingkun Gao , Xiaomin Song , Liang Sun , Huan Xu , Shenghuo Zhu

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Time series analysis is crucial for understanding dynamics of complex systems. Recent advances in foundation models have led to task-agnostic Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) and Large Language Model-based Time Series Models (TSLLMs),…

Due to effective pattern mining and feature representation, neural forecasting models based on deep learning have achieved great progress. The premise of effective learning is to collect sufficient data. However, in time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Yan Gao , Yan Wang , Qiang Wang

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated effectiveness as zero-shot time series (TS) forecasters. The key challenge lies in tokenizing TS data into textual representations that align with LLMs' pre-trained knowledge. While existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Xingyou Yin , Ceyao Zhang , Min Hu , Kai Chen

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) of time series aims to teach models to identify consistent patterns across various temporal scenarios, disregarding domain-specific differences, which can maintain their predictive accuracy and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-19 Huanyu Zhang , Yi-Fan Zhang , Zhang Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Liang Wang

In recent years, advancements in deep learning have spurred the development of numerous models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF). However, most existing approaches struggle to fully capture the complex and structured dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Zixuan Weng , Jindong Han , Wenzhao Jiang , Hao Liu

Existing data-driven approaches in modeling and predicting time series data include ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average), Transformer-based models, LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and TCN (Temporal Convolutional Network). These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Saroj Gopali , Bipin Chhetri , Deepika Giri , Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin