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Thunderstorm-driven power outages are difficult to predict because most storms do not cause damage, convective processes occur rapidly and chaotically, and the available public data are noisy and incomplete. Severe convective storms now…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Iryna Stanishevska , Seth Guikema

High energy solar protons were observed by particle detectors aboard spacecraft in near-Earth orbit on May 11, 2024 and produced the 74th ground level enhancement (GLE74) event registered by ground-based neutron monitors. This study…

We apply nested-sampling (NS) Bayesian analysis [AshtonEA22] to a model for the transport of MHD-scale solar wind fluctuations. The dual objectives are to obtain improved constraints on parameters present in the turbulence transport model…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-12-12 Mark Bishop , Sean Ougthon , Tulasi Parashar , Yvette Perrott

Given the rarity of significant solar flares compared to smaller ones, training effective machine learning models for solar activity forecasting is challenging due to insufficient data. This study proposes using generative deep learning…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-04-04 Francesco P. Ramunno , S. Hackstein , V. Kinakh , M. Drozdova , G. Quetant , A. Csillaghy , S. Voloshynovskiy

Space-Time Projection (STP) is introduced as a data-driven forecasting approach for high-dimensional and time-resolved data. The method computes extended space-time proper orthogonal modes from training data spanning a prediction horizon…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Oliver T. Schmidt

High-precision pulsar timing is highly dependent on precise and accurate modeling of any effects that impact the data. It was shown that commonly used Solar Wind models do not accurately account for variability in the amplitude of the Solar…

Extreme Solar Energetic Particle Events (ESPEs) were identified almost a decade ago, providing context for super events unleashed by our host star, the Sun. Their assumed solar origin drives the question of their ``worst-case" impact, which…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-04-09 Konstantin Herbst , Athanasios Papaioannou

Energetic particle instruments on board GPS satellites form a powerful global prompt proton sensor network (GPPSn) that provides an unprecedented opportunity to monitor and characterize solar energetic protons targeting the Earth. The…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-07-08 Yue Chen , Steven K. Morley , Matthew R. Carver

The prediction of solar irradiance enhances reliability in photovoltaic (PV) solar plant generation and grid integration. In Colombia, PV plants face penalties if energy production deviates beyond governmental thresholds from intraday…

Climate change and the rapid growth of urban populations are intensifying environmental stresses within cities, making the behavior of urban atmospheric flows a critical factor in public health, energy use, and overall livability. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Nishant Kumar , Franck Kerhervé , Lionel Agostini , Laurent Cordier

Deep Operator Network (DeepONet), a recently introduced deep learning operator network, approximates linear and nonlinear solution operators by taking parametric functions (infinite-dimensional objects) as inputs and mapping them to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Junyan He , Shashank Kushwaha , Jaewan Park , Seid Koric , Diab Abueidda , Iwona Jasiuk

Aims. We investigated the transport of solar energetic particles (SEPs) during the relativistic widespread event of 28 October 2021, quantifying the role of parallel and perpendicular diffusion and constraining the spatial extent of the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-11 E. Lavasa , J. T. Lang , A. Papaioannou , R. D. Strauss , S. A. Mallios , A. Hillaris , A. Kouloumvakos , A. Anastasiadis , I. A. Daglis

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Donlapark Ponnoprat

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

Space weather phenomena such as solar flares, have massive destructive power when reaches certain amount of magnitude. Such high magnitude solar flare event can interfere space-earth radio communications and neutralize space-earth…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-01-19 Vlad Landa , Yuval Reuveni

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

Deep learning is a machine learning approach that produces excellent performance in various applications, including natural language processing, image identification, and forecasting. Deep learning network performance depends on the…