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Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Recent advancements in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) have primarily focused on capturing cross-time and cross-variate (channel) dependencies within historical data. However, a critical aspect often overlooked by many existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Chaolv Zeng , Yuan Tian , Guanjie Zheng , Yunjun Gao

Time series forecasting has various applications, such as meteorological rainfall prediction, traffic flow analysis, financial forecasting, and operational load monitoring for various systems. Due to the sparsity of time series data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Xiaojian Wang , Chaoli Zhang , Zhonglong Zheng , Yunliang Jiang

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Transformers have achieved great success in effectively processing sequential data such as text. Their architecture consisting of several attention and feedforward blocks can model relations between elements of a sequence in parallel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Jaemu Heo , Eldor Fozilov , Hyunmin Song , Taehwan Kim

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Ling Chen , Jiahua Cui

Recently, frequency transformation (FT) has been increasingly incorporated into deep learning models to significantly enhance state-of-the-art accuracy and efficiency in time series analysis. The advantages of FT, such as high efficiency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Wei Fan , Longbing Cao , Shoujin Wang , Guodong Long , Liang Hu , Hui He , Qingsong Wen , Hui Xiong

This paper introduces SparseTSF, a novel, extremely lightweight model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), designed to address the challenges of modeling complex temporal dependencies over extended horizons with minimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Haojun Chen , Junjie Yang

Nowadays, time series forecasting is predominantly approached through the end-to-end training of deep learning architectures using error-based objectives. While this is effective at minimizing average loss, it encourages the encoder to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Jiacheng Wang , Liang Fan , Baihua Li , Luyan Zhang

The extensive adoption of web technologies in the finance and investment sectors has led to an explosion of financial data, which contributes to the complexity of the forecasting task. Traditional machine learning models exhibit limitations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Renjun Jia , Zian Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved remarkable success in universal forecasting by leveraging large-scale pretraining on diverse time series data. Complementing this progress, incorporating frequency-domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Shunyu Wu , Jiawei Huang , Weibin Feng , Boxin Li , Xiao Zhang , Erli Meng , Dan Li , Jian Lou , See-Kiong Ng

Transformer-based models for time series forecasting (TSF) have attracted significant attention in recent years due to their effectiveness and versatility. However, these models often require extensive hyperparameter optimization (HPO) to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Jingjing Xu , Caesar Wu , Yuan-Fang Li , Grégoire Danoy , Pascal Bouvry

Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Yen-Chia Chen , Hsing-Kuo Pao , Hanjuan Huang

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin