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Recently, the superiority of Transformer for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks has been challenged, particularly since recent work has shown that simple models can outperform numerous Transformer-based approaches. This suggests…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Songbo Wang , Yongxiang Wang

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

The classification of time-series data is pivotal for streaming data and comes with many challenges. Although the amount of publicly available datasets increases rapidly, deep neural models are only exploited in a few areas. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-27 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Time series forecasting methods generally fall into two main categories: Channel Independent (CI) and Channel Dependent (CD) strategies. While CI overlooks important covariate relationships, CD captures all dependencies without distinction,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Yifan Hu , Guibin Zhang , Peiyuan Liu , Disen Lan , Naiqi Li , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai , Shu-Tao Xia , Shirui Pan

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

In long-term multivariate time series forecasting, effectively capturing both periodic patterns and residual dynamics is essential. To address this within standard deep learning benchmark settings, we propose the Hierarchical Patching Mixer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Jung Min Choi , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This paper introduces WeatherFormer, a transformer encoder-based model designed to learn robust weather features from minimal observations. It addresses the challenge of modeling complex weather dynamics from small datasets, a bottleneck…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Adib Hasan , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther Dahleh

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

Dynamic link prediction plays a crucial role in diverse applications including social network analysis, communication forecasting, and financial modeling. While recent Transformer-based approaches have demonstrated promising results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Hantong Feng , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Time series forecasting is critical in numerous real-world applications, requiring accurate predictions of future values based on observed patterns. While traditional forecasting techniques work well in in-domain scenarios with ample data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Liran Nochumsohn , Michal Moshkovitz , Orly Avner , Dotan Di Castro , Omri Azencot

The process monitoring task is characterized by stringent demands for accuracy and efficiency. Current transformer-based methods, characterized by self-attention for temporal fusion, exhibit limitations in accurately understanding the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Hao Wang , Zhichao Chen , Licheng Pan , Xiaoyu Jiang , Yichen Song , Qunshan He , Xinggao Liu

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Recently, there has been a growing interest in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), which involves predicting long-term future values by analyzing a large amount of historical time-series data to identify patterns and trends. There…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt