中文
相关论文

相关论文: Causal Time Series Generation via Diffusion Models

200 篇论文

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Prompt learning has garnered attention for its efficiency over traditional model training and fine-tuning. However, existing methods, constrained by inadequate theoretical foundations, encounter difficulties in achieving causally invariant…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Xinshu Li , Ruoyu Wang , Erdun Gao , Mingming Gong , Lina Yao

There exist several approaches for estimating causal effects in time series when latent confounding is present. Many of these approaches rely on additional auxiliary observed variables or time series such as instruments, negative controls…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Tom Hochsprung , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus

Can the direction of time and the causal structure of space-time be inferred from operational principles? Causal models and tensor networks offer complementary perspectives: the former encodes cause-effect relations via directed graphs,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-16 Carla Ferradini , Giulia Mazzola , V. Vilasini

Generating high-quality synthetic time series is a fundamental yet challenging task across domains such as forecasting and anomaly detection, where real data can be scarce, noisy, or costly to collect. Unlike static data generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Recent studies suggest utilizing generative models instead of traditional auto-regressive algorithms for time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. These non-auto-regressive approaches involving different generative methods, including GAN,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Jiangxuan Long , Zhao Song , Chiwun Yang

Learning the dynamic causal structure of time series is a challenging problem. Most existing approaches rely on distributional or structural invariance to uncover underlying causal dynamics, assuming stationary or partially stationary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Dezhi Yang , Qiaoyu Tan , Carlotta Domeniconi , Jun Wang , Lizhen Cui , Guoxian Yu

Score-based generative models (SGMs) have demonstrated unparalleled sampling quality and diversity in numerous fields, such as image generation, voice synthesis, and tabular data synthesis, etc. Inspired by those outstanding results, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Haksoo Lim , Jaehoon Lee , Sewon Park , Minjung Kim , Noseong Park

Temporal causal discovery is a crucial task aimed at uncovering the causal relations within time series data. The latest temporal causal discovery methods usually train deep learning models on prediction tasks to uncover the causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Lingbai Kong , Wengen Li , Hanchen Yang , Yichao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Learning causal graphs from multivariate time series is a ubiquitous challenge in all application domains dealing with time-dependent systems, such as in Earth sciences, biology, or engineering, to name a few. Recent developments for this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Kevin Debeire , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus , Veronika Eyring

Although recent generative models can produce time series with close marginal distributions, they often face a fundamental tension between preserving global temporal structure and modeling stochastic local variations, particularly for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-23 Shaoshuai Du , Joze M. Rozanec , Andy Pimentel , Ana-Lucia Varbanescu

Time series synthesis is an effective approach to ensuring the secure circulation of time series data. Existing time series synthesis methods typically perform temporal modeling based on random sequences to generate target sequences, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) forecasting is a fundamental task in many real-world applications. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks have emerged as the most popular method for STG forecasting, but they often struggle with temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Xu Liu , Kun Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Roger Zimmermann

Most existing causal structure learning methods assume data collected from one environment and independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). In some cases, data are collected from different subjects from multiple environments, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Wei Chen , Yunjin Wu , Ruichu Cai , Yueguo Chen , Zhifeng Hao

Causal interactions in time series networks can be dynamic and nonlinear, making it difficult to identify them using conventional linear causality estimations. We propose a novel approach, called Threshold Autoregressive Modeling for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Robust causal discovery in time series datasets depends on reliable benchmark datasets with known ground-truth causal relationships. However, such datasets remain scarce, and existing synthetic alternatives often overlook critical temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

The imputation of the Multivariate time series (MTS) is particularly challenging since the MTS typically contains irregular patterns of missing values due to various factors such as instrument failures, interference from irrelevant data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-04 Ye Su , Hezhe Qiao , Di Wu , Yuwen Chen , Lin Chen