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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a family of statistical inference techniques, which is increasingly used in biology and other scientific fields. Its main benefit is to be applicable to models for which the computation of the model…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-12-25 Franck Jabot , Guillaume Lagarrigues , Benoît Courbaud , Nicolas Dumoulin

Despite the rapid expansion of Large Language Models (LLMs) in healthcare, robust and explainable evaluation of their ability to assess clinical trial reporting according to CONSORT standards remains an open challenge. In particular,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Sohyeon Jeon , Hyung-Chul Lee

Likelihood-free methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have extended the reach of statistical inference to problems with computationally intractable likelihoods. Such approaches perform well for small-to-moderate dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-12 G. S. Rodrigues , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Given the complexity of modern cosmological parameter inference where we are faced with non-Gaussian data and noise, correlated systematics and multi-probe correlated data sets, the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) method is a…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2017-03-08 Elise Jennings , Maeve Madigan

Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit strong performance across various natural language processing (NLP) tasks but remain vulnerable to hallucinations, generating factually incorrect or misleading outputs. Uncertainty estimation, often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Manh Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Hung Le

Although large language models (LLMs) are highly interactive and extendable, current approaches to ensure reliability in deployments remain mostly limited to rejecting outputs with high uncertainty in order to avoid misinformation. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 T. Duy Nguyen-Hien , Desi R. Ivanova , Yee Whye Teh , Wee Sun Lee

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have become essential tools for performing inference when likelihood functions are intractable or computationally prohibitive. However, their scalability remains a major challenge in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Antoine Luciano , Charly Andral , Christian P. Robert , Robin J. Ryder

Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods (or likelihood-free methods) have appeared in the past fifteen years as useful methods to perform Bayesian analyses when the likelihood is analytically or computationally intractable. Several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-01 Meili Baragatti , Agnès Grimaud , Denys Pommeret

Large language models (LLMs) are being explored for diagnostic decision support, yet their ability to estimate pre-test probabilities, vital for clinical decision-making, remains limited. This study evaluates two LLMs, Mistral-7B and…

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong few-shot generalization through in-context learning, yet their reasoning in dynamic and stochastic environments remains opaque. Prior studies mainly focus on static tasks and overlook the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Jensen Zhang , Jing Yang , Keze Wang

Handling graph data is one of the most difficult tasks. Traditional techniques, such as those based on geometry and matrix factorization, rely on assumptions about the data relations that become inadequate when handling large and complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Zhenyu Qian , Yiming Qian , Yuting Song , Fei Gao , Hai Jin , Chen Yu , Xia Xie

As LLM-based judges become integral to industry applications, obtaining well-calibrated uncertainty estimates efficiently has become critical for production deployment. However, existing techniques, such as verbalized confidence and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Bhaktipriya Radharapu , Eshika Saxena , Kenneth Li , Chenxi Whitehouse , Adina Williams , Nicola Cancedda

A new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm for Bayesian updating of model parameters is proposed in this paper, which combines the ABC principles with the technique of Subset Simulation for efficient rare-event simulation, first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-25 Manuel Chiachio , James L. Beck , Juan Chiachio , Guillermo Rus

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for Large Language Models (LLMs) encompass a variety of approaches, with two major types being particularly prominent: information-based, which focus on model confidence expressed as token…

Autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) trained for next-word prediction have demonstrated remarkable proficiency at producing coherent text. But are they equally adept at forming coherent probability judgments? We use probabilistic…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Jian-Qiao Zhu , Thomas L. Griffiths

We propose a novel approach for solving inverse-problems with high-dimensional inputs and an expensive forward mapping. It leverages joint deep generative modelling to transfer the original problem spaces to a lower dimensional latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Eliane Maalouf , David Ginsbourger , Niklas Linde

Objective: This study investigates the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) as an alternative to human expert elicitation for extracting structured causal knowledge and facilitating causal modeling in biometric and healthcare…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Olha Shaposhnyk , Daria Zahorska , Svetlana Yanushkevich

The power of fuzz testing lies in its random, often brute-force, generation and execution of inputs to trigger unexpected behaviors and vulnerabilities in software applications. However, given the reality of infinite possible input…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-04-10 Chris Vaisnor

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

Understanding how genetically encoded rules drive and guide complex neuronal growth processes is essential to comprehending the brain's architecture, and agent-based models (ABMs) offer a powerful simulation approach to further develop this…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Tobias Duswald , Lukas Breitwieser , Thomas Thorne , Barbara Wohlmuth , Roman Bauer