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The analysis of system reliability has often benefited from graphical tools such as fault trees and Bayesian networks. In this article, instead of conventional graphical tools, we apply a probabilistic graphical model called the chain event…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Xuewen Yu , Jim Q. Smith

Quantifying cause and effect relationships is an important problem in many domains. The gold standard solution is to conduct a randomised controlled trial. However, in many situations such trials cannot be performed. In the absence of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Jakob Zeitler , Athanasios Vlontzos , Ciaran M. Gilligan-Lee

Training a model to detect patterns of interrelated events that form situations of interest can be a complex problem: such situations tend to be uncommon, and only sparse data is available. We propose a hybrid neuro-symbolic architecture…

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

Event Detection (ED) aims to identify event trigger words from a given text and classify it into an event type. Most of current methods to ED rely heavily on training instances, and almost ignore the correlation of event types. Hence, they…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Shumin Deng , Ningyu Zhang , Luoqiu Li , Hui Chen , Huaixiao Tou , Mosha Chen , Fei Huang , Huajun Chen

We are not only observers but also actors of reality. Our capability to intervene and alter the course of some events in the space and time surrounding us is an essential component of how we build our model of the world. In this doctoral…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Gilles Blondel

Conventional temporal causal discovery (CD) methods suffer from high dimensionality, fail to identify lagged causal relationships, and often ignore dynamics in relations. In this study, we present a novel constraint-based CD approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Uzma Hasan , Md Osman Gani

Identifying the main features and learning the causal relationships of a dynamic system from time-series of sensor data are key problems in many real-world robot applications. In this paper, we propose an extension of a state-of-the-art…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Luca Castri , Sariah Mghames , Marc Hanheide , Nicola Bellotto

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Marcus Klasson , Kun Zhang , Bo C. Bertilson , Cheng Zhang , Hedvig Kjellström

The plethora of algorithms in the research field of process mining builds on directly-follows relations. Even though various improvements have been made in the last decade, there are serious weaknesses of these relationships. Once events…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-07-24 Philipp Waibel , Lukas Pfahlsberger , Kate Revoredo , Jan Mendling

The ability to understand causality from data is one of the major milestones of human-level intelligence. Causal Discovery (CD) algorithms can identify the cause-effect relationships among the variables of a system from related…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Uzma Hasan , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Estimating the Individual Treatment Effect from observational data, defined as the difference between outcomes with and without treatment or intervention, while observing just one of both, is a challenging problems in causal learning. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-07 Céline Beji , Michaël Bon , Florian Yger , Jamal Atif

Mathematical models are fundamental building blocks in the design of dynamical control systems. As control systems are becoming increasingly complex and networked, approaches for obtaining such models based on first principles reach their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Dominik Baumann , Friedrich Solowjow , Karl H. Johansson , Sebastian Trimpe

Identifying causal effects is a key problem of interest across many disciplines. The two long-standing approaches to estimate causal effects are observational and experimental (randomized) studies. Observational studies can suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Sepehr Elahi , Sina Akbari , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Patrick Thiran

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Discrete Bayesian Networks have been very successful as a framework both for inference and for expressing certain causal hypotheses. In this paper we present a class of graphical models called the chain event graph (CEG) models, that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-09-24 Eva Riccomagno , Jim Q. Smith

Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Bijan Mazaheri , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

Consider the problem of determining the effect of a compound on a specific cell type. To answer this question, researchers traditionally need to run an experiment applying the drug of interest to that cell type. This approach is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Chandler Squires , Dennis Shen , Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Caroline Uhler

Complex Event Recognition (CER for short) refers to the activity of detecting patterns in streams of continuously arriving data. This field has been traditionally approached from a practical point of view, resulting in heterogeneous…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2017-12-05 Alejandro Grez , Cristian Riveros , Martin Ugarte , Stijn Vansummeren

Formal approaches for automated causality analysis, fault localization, explanation of events, accountability and blaming have been proposed independently by several communities --- in particular, AI, concurrency, model-based diagnosis,…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2016-08-29 Gregor Gössler , Oleg Sokolsky