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Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) represent a new paradigm for time-series forecasting, promising zero-shot predictions without the need for task-specific training or fine-tuning. However, similar to Large Language Models (LLMs), the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Marcel Meyer , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Kevin Zalipski , Oliver Müller

Traditional recurrent neural network architectures, such as long short-term memory neural networks (LSTM), have historically held a prominent role in time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. While the recently introduced sLSTM for Natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Yaxuan Kong , Zepu Wang , Yuqi Nie , Tian Zhou , Stefan Zohren , Yuxuan Liang , Peng Sun , Qingsong Wen

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Spatiotemporal systems are common in the real-world. Forecasting the multi-step future of these spatiotemporal systems based on the past observations, or, Spatiotemporal Sequence Forecasting (STSF), is a significant and challenging problem.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-22 Xingjian Shi , Dit-Yan Yeung

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

How to handle time features shall be the core question of any time series forecasting model. Ironically, it is often ignored or misunderstood by deep-learning based models, even those baselines which are state-of-the-art. This behavior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-25 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is a crucial task in various domains, yet existing TSF models rely heavily on high-quality data and insufficiently exploit all available data. This paper explores a novel self-supervised approach to re-label…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Yuxuan Yang , Dalin Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Hua Lu , Gang Chen , Huan Li

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is an important application across many fields. There is a debate about whether Transformers, despite being good at understanding long sequences, struggle with preserving temporal relationships in time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Syed Tahir Hussain Rizvi , Neel Kanwal , Muddasar Naeem

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

Time-series forecasting is an essential task with wide real-world applications across domains. While recent advances in deep learning have enabled time-series forecasting models with accurate predictions, there remains considerable debate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Juntong Ni , Shangqing Xu , Haoxin Liu , Wei Jin , B. Aditya Prakash

Data science agents promise to accelerate discovery and insight-generation by turning data into executable analyses and findings. Yet existing data science benchmarks fall short due to fragmented evaluation interfaces that make…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Fan Nie , Junlin Wang , Harper Hua , Federico Bianchi , Yongchan Kwon , Zhenting Qi , Owen Queen , Shang Zhu , James Zou

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

The advancement of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has been driven primarily by large-scale pre-training, but inference-time compute potential remains largely untapped. This work systematically investigates two questions: how do TSFMs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Ruijin Hua , Zichuan Liu , Kun Zhang , Yiyuan Yang