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The need for consistent treatment of uncertainty has recently triggered increased interest in probabilistic deep learning methods. However, most current approaches have severe limitations when it comes to inference, since many of these…

A grand challenge in machine learning is the development of computational algorithms that match or outperform humans in perceptual inference tasks that are complicated by nuisance variation. For instance, visual object recognition involves…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Ankit B. Patel , Tan Nguyen , Richard G. Baraniuk

Weather forecasting requires not only accuracy but also the ability to perform probabilistic prediction. However, deterministic weather forecasting methods do not support probabilistic predictions, and conversely, probabilistic models tend…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Donggeun Yoon , Minseok Seo , Doyi Kim , Yeji Choi , Donghyeon Cho

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

This study addresses the challenge of accurately forecasting geometric deviations in manufactured components using advanced 3D surface analysis. Despite progress in modern manufacturing, maintaining dimensional precision remains difficult,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Hamidreza Samadi , Md Manjurul Ahsan , Shivakumar Raman

A key factor for ensuring safety in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) is to avoid any abnormal behaviors under undesirable and unpredicted circumstances. As AVs increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to perform safety-critical tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier

Assessing the fidelity and diversity of the generative model is a difficult but important issue for technological advancement. So, recent papers have introduced k-Nearest Neighbor ($k$NN) based precision-recall metrics to break down the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Dogyun Park , Suhyun Kim

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide principled uncertainty quantification but suffer from substantial computational and memory overhead compared to deterministic networks. While quantization techniques have successfully reduced resource…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-12 Hendrik Borras , Yong Wu , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning

This work develops rigorous theoretical basis for the fact that deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) is an effective tool for high-dimensional variable selection with rigorous uncertainty quantification. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Recent performance breakthroughs in Artificial intelligence (AI) and Machine learning (ML), especially advances in Deep learning (DL), the availability of powerful, easy-to-use ML libraries (e.g., scikit-learn, TensorFlow, PyTorch.), and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Mahmoud Yaseen , Xu Wu

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy in various applications, they often fall short in accurately estimating their predictive uncertainty and, in turn, fail to recognize when these predictions may be wrong.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-22 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

The customizable nature of deep learning models have allowed them to be successful predictors in various disciplines. These models are often trained with respect to thousands or millions of instances for complicated problems, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-24 Drimik Roy Chowdhury , Muhammad Firmansyah Kasim

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

While offering a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, the employment of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) is still constrained by their increased computational requirements and the convergence difficulties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Moule Lin , Shuhao Guan , Weipeng Jing , Goetz Botterweck , Andrea Patane

Motivated by the need to identify erroneous disparity assignments, various approaches for uncertainty and confidence estimation of dense stereo matching have been presented in recent years. As in many other fields, especially deep learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-11 Max Mehltretter

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

Support vector machines (SVMs) are widely used and constitute one of the best examined and used machine learning models for two-class classification. Classification in SVM is based on a score procedure, yielding a deterministic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Sandra Benítez-Peña , Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz