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相关论文: Solar Forecasting with Causality: A Graph-Transfor…

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The output of solar power generation is significantly dependent on the available solar radiation. Thus, with the proliferation of PV generation in the modern power grid, forecasting of solar irradiance is vital for proper operation of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Kwasi Opoku , Svetlana Lucemo , Qun Zhou Sun , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

When a territory is poorly instrumented, geostationary satellites data can be useful to predict global solar radiation. In this paper, we use geostationary satellites data to generate 2-D time series of solar radiation for the next hour.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-01-21 Cyril Voyant , Pierrick Haurant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

In recent years, deep learning-based solar forecasting using all-sky images has emerged as a promising approach for alleviating uncertainty in PV power generation. However, the stochastic nature of cloud movement remains a major challenge…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Yuhao Nie , Eric Zelikman , Andea Scott , Quentin Paletta , Adam Brandt

With the acceleration of urbanization, traffic forecasting has become an essential role in smart city construction. In the context of spatio-temporal prediction, the key lies in how to model the dependencies of sensors. However, existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Qian Ma , Zijian Zhang , Xiangyu Zhao , Haoliang Li , Hongwei Zhao , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Wanyu Wang

Over recent decades, electricity demand has experienced sustained growth through widespread electrification of transportation and the accelerated expansion of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Grids have managed the resulting surges by scaling…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Mathew Joseph , Tanush Savadi , Abel Souza

Precipitation nowcasting remains challenging due to the highly localized, rapidly evolving, and heterogeneous nature of atmospheric dynamics. Although recent methods increasingly adopt attention-based architectures in both unimodal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Zexin Hu , Sen Zhang , Patrick Filippi , Xiaogang Zhu , Allen Benter , Thomas Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

The ionosphere is a critical component of near-Earth space, shaping GNSS accuracy, high-frequency communications, and aviation operations. For these reasons, accurate forecasting and modeling of ionospheric variability has become…

Accurate forecasting of future solar irradiance is essential for the effective control of solar thermal power plants. Although various kriging-based methods have been proposed to address the prediction problem, these methods typically do…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Haruki Kawase , Taiga Sugawara , A. Daniel Carnerero

Current solar flare predictions often lack precise quantification of their reliability, resulting in frequent false alarms, particularly when dealing with datasets skewed towards extreme events. To improve the trustworthiness of space…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Jinsu Hong , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Technologies to predict human actions are extremely important for applications such as human robot cooperation and autonomous driving. However, a majority of the existing algorithms focus on exploiting visual features of the videos and do…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-12-12 Bo Chen , Decai Li , Yuqing He , Chunsheng Hua

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF) is a key meteorological research area, critical to energy, aviation, and agriculture. Existing time series forecasting methods often ignore or unidirectionally model spatial correlation when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Hongyi Chen , Xiucheng Li , Xinyang Chen , Yun Cheng , Jing Li , Kehai Chen , Liqiang Nie

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

The stable operation of off-grid photovoltaic systems requires accurate, computationally efficient solar forecasting. Contemporary deep learning models often suffer from massive computational overhead and physical blindness, generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to…

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Bias correction is a common pre-processing step applied to climate model data before it is used for further analysis. This article introduces an efficient adaptation of a well-established bias-correction method - quantile mapping - for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-03 Maggie D. Bailey , Douglas W. Nychka , Manajit Sengupta , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

This study proposes an approximate model to estimate the solar radiation spectrum intensity in Seoul, Republic of Korea, for the year 2024, aiming to analyze optimal conditions related to energy generation. Since the solar radiation…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-14 Jeonggyu Hwang