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The feed-forward relationship naturally observed in time-dependent processes and in a diverse number of real systems -such as some food-webs and electronic and neural wiring- can be described in terms of so-called directed acyclic graphs…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Joaquín Goñi , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Ricard V. Solé , Carlos Rodríguez-Caso

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

Multivariate time series forecasting poses an ongoing challenge across various disciplines. Time series data often exhibit diverse intra-series and inter-series correlations, contributing to intricate and interwoven dependencies that have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Wanlin Cai , Yuxuan Liang , Xianggen Liu , Jianshuai Feng , Yuankai Wu

Link prediction is central to unraveling social network evolution and node relationships, as well as understanding the characteristic mechanisms of complex networks. Currently, research on link prediction for complex dynamic networks…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-16 Gaoxin Zhang , Ruixing Ren , Junhui Zhao , Xiaoke Sun

Anomaly detection techniques enable effective anomaly detection and diagnosis in multi-variate time series data, which are of major significance for today's industrial applications. However, establishing an anomaly detection system that can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-02 Lingrui Yu

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Temporal dynamics, characterised by time-varying degree heterogeneity and homophily effects, are often exhibited in many real-world networks. As observed in an MIT Social Evolution study, the in-degree and out-degree of the nodes show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yuguo Chen , Lianqiang Qu , Jinfeng Xu , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhou

Multivariate time series forecasting is of great importance to many scientific disciplines and industrial sectors. The evolution of a multivariate time series depends on the dynamics of its variables and the connectivity network of causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-03 Christos Koutlis , Symeon Papadopoulos , Manos Schinas , Ioannis Kompatsiaris

In many scenarios, it is necessary to monitor a complex system via a time-series of observations and determine when anomalous exogenous events have occurred so that relevant actions can be taken. Determining whether current observations are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Alex Mallen , Christoph A. Keller , J. Nathan Kutz

Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a fundamental problem in many real-world systems. Existing temporal graph neural networks mainly focus on learning representations of historical interactions. Despite their strong performance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Nguyen Minh Duc , Viet Cuong Ta

Time series anomaly detection is a challenging problem due to the complex temporal dependencies and the limited label data. Although some algorithms including both traditional and deep models have been proposed, most of them mainly focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Chaoli Zhang , Tian Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Dynamic graph learning is essential for applications involving temporal networks and requires effective modeling of temporal relationships. Seminal attention-based models like TGAT and DyGFormer rely on sinusoidal time encoders to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Hsing-Huan Chung , Shravan Chaudhari , Xing Han , Yoav Wald , Suchi Saria , Joydeep Ghosh

Many statistical methods have been proposed to estimate causal models in classical situations with fewer variables than observations (p<n, p: the number of variables and n: the number of observations). However, modern datasets including…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-04-08 Shohei Shimizu , Takashi Washio , Aapo Hyvarinen , Seiya Imoto

Capturing the underlying structural causal relations represented by Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) has been a fundamental task in various AI disciplines. Causal DAG learning via the continuous optimization framework has recently achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Naiyu Yin , Tian Gao , Yue Yu , Qiang Ji

The exponential growth of multivariate time series data from sensor networks in domains like industrial monitoring and smart cities requires efficient and accurate forecasting models. Current deep learning methods often fail to adequately…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Chengyi Yang , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee