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Exogenous variables offer valuable supplementary information for predicting future endogenous variables. Forecasting with exogenous variables needs to consider both past-to-future dependencies (i.e., temporal correlations) and the influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Zhengyu Li , Xiangfei Qiu , Yuhan Zhu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Deep models have demonstrated remarkable performance in time series forecasting. However, due to the partially-observed nature of real-world applications, solely focusing on the target of interest, so-called endogenous variables, is usually…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Jiaxiang Dong , Guo Qin , Haoran Zhang , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Yan Lin , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Accurate wind power forecasting can help formulate scientific dispatch plans, which is of great significance for maintaining the safety, stability, and efficient operation of the power system. In recent years, wind power forecasting methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Yajuan Zhang , Jiahai Jiang , Yule Yan , Liang Yang , Ping Zhang

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Accurate long-term predictions are the foundations for many machine learning applications and decision-making processes. Traditional time series approaches for prediction often focus on either autoregressive modeling, which relies solely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Kshitij Tayal , Arvind Renganathan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar , Dan Lu

Recent advancements have underscored the impact of deep learning techniques on multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). Generally, these techniques are bifurcated into two categories: Channel-independence and Channel-mixing approaches.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Yiduo Li , Yuanhang Yang , Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Time series forecasting with exogenous variables is a critical emerging paradigm that presents unique challenges in modeling dependencies between variables. Traditional models often struggle to differentiate between endogenous and exogenous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Pengfei Zhou , Yunlong Liu , Junli Liang , Qi Song , Xiangyang Li

Time-series forecasting increasingly demands not only accurate observational predictions but also causal forecasting under interventional and counterfactual queries in multivariate systems. We present DoFlow, a flow-based generative model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Dongze Wu , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is critical for dynamic systems, yet existing methods predominantly rely on modeling a limited set of observed target variables. In this paper, we present the first systematic exploration of exogenous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Wei Chen , Yuqian Wu , Yuanshao Zhu , Xixuan Hao , Shiyu Wang , Xiaofang Zhou , Yuxuan Liang

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

In the hydrology field, time series forecasting is crucial for efficient water resource management, improving flood and drought control and increasing the safety and quality of life for the general population. However, predicting long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Yanhong Li , Jack Xu , David C. Anastasiu

A reliable and efficient representation of multivariate time series is crucial in various downstream machine learning tasks. In multivariate time series forecasting, each variable depends on its historical values and there are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-22 William T. Ng , K. Siu , Albert C. Cheung , Michael K. Ng

In multivariate time series analysis, understanding the underlying causal relationships among variables is often of interest for various applications. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a powerful framework for representing causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Understanding human motion behaviour is a critical task for several possible applications like self-driving cars or social robots, and in general for all those settings where an autonomous agent has to navigate inside a human-centric…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Alessio Monti , Alessia Bertugli , Simone Calderara , Rita Cucchiara

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

Recently, deep neural networks have gained increasing popularity in the field of time series forecasting. A primary reason for their success is their ability to effectively capture complex temporal dynamics across multiple related time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-23 Xiaoyong Jin , Youngsuk Park , Danielle C. Maddix , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang
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