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Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Tree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-03 Matthias Jakobs , Amal Saadallah

Large time series models (LTMs) have emerged as powerful tools for universal forecasting, yet they often struggle with the inherent diversity and nonstationarity of real-world time series data, leading to an unsatisfactory trade-off between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Yunzhong Qiu , Zhiyao Cen , Zhongyi Pei , Chen Wang , Jianmin Wang

One of the key challenges of learning an online recommendation model is the temporal domain shift, which causes the mismatch between the training and testing data distribution and hence domain generalization error. To overcome, we propose…

Although action recognition systems can achieve top performance when evaluated on in-distribution test points, they are vulnerable to unanticipated distribution shifts in test data. However, test-time adaptation of video action recognition…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-22 Wei Lin , Muhammad Jehanzeb Mirza , Mateusz Kozinski , Horst Possegger , Hilde Kuehne , Horst Bischof

Recent work on time-series models has leveraged self-supervised training to learn meaningful features and patterns in order to improve performance on downstream tasks and generalize to unseen modalities. While these pretraining methods have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Paul Quinlan , Qingguo Li , Xiaodan Zhu

A large-scale recommender system usually consists of recall and ranking modules. The goal of ranking modules (aka rankers) is to elaborately discriminate users' preference on item candidates proposed by recall modules. With the success of…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Xinyan Fan , Jianxun Lian , Wayne Xin Zhao , Zheng Liu , Chaozhuo Li , Xing Xie

Time series forecasting is critical for many applications, where deep learning-based point prediction models have demonstrated strong performance. However, in practical scenarios, there is also a need to quantify predictive uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) enables pre-trained models to adjust to distribution shift by learning from unlabeled test-time streams. However, existing methods typically treat these streams as independent samples, overlooking the supervisory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Young Kyung Kim , Oded Schlesinger , Qiangqiang Wu , J. Matías Di Martino , Guillermo Sapiro

One of the main obstacles to broad application of reinforcement learning methods is the parameter sensitivity of our core learning algorithms. In many large-scale applications, online computation and function approximation represent key…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-10-25 Martha White , Adam White

Machine learning algorithms have achieved remarkable success across various disciplines, use cases and applications, under the prevailing assumption that training and test samples are drawn from the same distribution. Consequently, these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Zehao Xiao , Cees G. M. Snoek

Domain adaptation, a pivotal branch of transfer learning, aims to enhance the performance of machine learning models when deployed in target domains with distinct data distributions. This is particularly critical for object detection tasks,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Helia Mohamadi , Mohammad Ali Keyvanrad , Mohammad Reza Mohammadi

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Urban spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is crucial for various urban applications such as intelligent scheduling and trip planning. Previous studies focus on modeling ST correlations among urban locations in offline settings, which often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Chengxin Wang , Gary Tan , Swagato Barman Roy , Beng Chin Ooi

The problem of online change point detection is to detect abrupt changes in properties of time series, ideally as soon as possible after those changes occur. Existing work on online change point detection either assumes i.i.d data, focuses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

The goal of anomaly detection is to identify observations that are generated by a distribution that differs from the reference distribution that qualifies normal behavior. When examining a time series, the reference distribution may evolve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Etienne Krönert , Dalila Hattab , Alain Celisse

Domain adaptation aims to learn models on a supervised source domain that perform well on an unsupervised target. Prior work has examined domain adaptation in the context of stationary domain shifts, i.e. static data sets. However, with…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-08-03 Sindi Shkodrani , Michael Hofmann , Efstratios Gavves

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay