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Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) are interpretable models that predict the target variable through high-level human-understandable concepts, allowing users to intervene on mispredicted concepts to adjust the final output. While recent work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Wiktor Jan Hoffmann , Sonia Laguna , Moritz Vandenhirtz , Emanuele Palumbo , Julia E. Vogt

Accurate prediction of surface energies and stabilities is essential for materials design, yet first-principles calculations remain computationally expensive and most existing interatomic potentials are trained only on bulk systems. Here,…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-10-01 Jaekyun Hwang , Taehun Lee , Yonghyuk Lee , Su-Hyun Yoo

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Post-training quantization (PTQ) is a popular method for compressing deep neural networks (DNNs) without modifying their original architecture or training procedures. Despite its effectiveness and convenience, the reliability of PTQ methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Zhihang Yuan , Jiawei Liu , Jiaxiang Wu , Dawei Yang , Qiang Wu , Guangyu Sun , Wenyu Liu , Xinggang Wang , Bingzhe Wu

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential when employing large language models (LLMs) in high-risk domains such as clinical question answering (QA). In this work, we evaluate uncertainty estimation methods for clinical QA…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Alberto Testoni , Iacer Calixto

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Molecular property calculations are the bedrock of chemical physics. High-fidelity \textit{ab initio} modeling techniques for computing the molecular properties can be prohibitively expensive, and motivate the development of…

On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Venkat Nemani , Luca Biggio , Xun Huan , Zhen Hu , Olga Fink , Anh Tran , Yan Wang , Xiaoge Zhang , Chao Hu

The burgeoning field of algorithms with predictions studies the problem of using possibly imperfect machine learning predictions to improve online algorithm performance. While nearly all existing algorithms in this framework make no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Bo Sun , Jerry Huang , Nicolas Christianson , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , Adam Wierman , Raouf Boutaba

A dynamic treatment regime effectively incorporates both accrued information and long-term effects of treatment from specially designed clinical trials. As these become more and more popular in conjunction with longitudinal data from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-08-29 Rui Song , Weiwei Wang , Donglin Zeng , Michael R. Kosorok

Uncertainty quantification is an important prerequisite for the deployment of deep learning models in safety-critical areas. Yet, this hinges on the uncertainty estimates being useful to the extent the prediction intervals are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Dharmesh Tailor , Alvaro H. C. Correia , Eric Nalisnick , Christos Louizos

Numerical models of complex real-world phenomena often necessitate High Performance Computing (HPC). Uncertainties increase problem dimensionality further and pose even greater challenges. We present a parallelization strategy for…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2021-08-02 Linus Seelinger , Anne Reinarz , Leonhard Rannabauer , Michael Bader , Peter Bastian , Robert Scheichl

Real-world time series data often exhibits substantial missing values, posing challenges for advanced analysis. A common approach to addressing this issue is imputation, where the primary challenge lies in determining the appropriate values…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ying Liu , Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Richang Hong

With the increased use of data-driven approaches and machine learning-based methods in material science, the importance of reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the predicted variables for informed decision-making cannot be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Longze Li , Jiang Chang , Aleksandar Vakanski , Yachun Wang , Tiankai Yao , Min Xian

Solving Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) is hard. Learning optimal controllers for POMDPs when the model is unknown is harder. Online learning of optimal controllers for unknown POMDPs, which requires efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Mehdi Jafarnia-Jahromi , Rahul Jain , Ashutosh Nayyar

First-principles atomistic simulations are essential for understanding complex material phenomena but are fundamentally limited by their computational cost. While Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) have drastically improved…

Large molecular representation models pre-trained on massive unlabeled data have shown great success in predicting molecular properties. However, these models may tend to overfit the fine-tuning data, resulting in over-confident predictions…

化学物理 · 物理学 2024-04-18 Yinghao Li , Lingkai Kong , Yuanqi Du , Yue Yu , Yuchen Zhuang , Wenhao Mu , Chao Zhang

Deep neural networks are powerful predictors for a variety of tasks. However, they do not capture uncertainty directly. Using neural network ensembles to quantify uncertainty is competitive with approaches based on Bayesian neural networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Romain Egele , Romit Maulik , Krishnan Raghavan , Bethany Lusch , Isabelle Guyon , Prasanna Balaprakash

Improving calibration performance in deep learning (DL) classification models is important when planning the use of DL in a decision-support setting. In such a scenario, a confident wrong prediction could lead to a lack of trust and/or harm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Tareen Dawood , Bram Ruijsink , Reza Razavi , Andrew P. King , Esther Puyol-Antón
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