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Accurately quantifying uncertainty in predictions and projections arising from irreducible internal climate variability is critical for informed decision making. Such uncertainty is typically assessed using ensembles produced with physics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Parsa Gooya , Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso , Johannes Exenberger

Multivariate time series classification is a crucial task in data mining, attracting growing research interest due to its broad applications. While many existing methods focus on discovering discriminative patterns in time series,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Wenjie Xi , Rundong Zuo , Alejandro Alvarez , Jie Zhang , Byron Choi , Jessica Lin

Despite advances in deep probabilistic models, learning discrete latent representations remains challenging. This work introduces a novel method to improve inference in discrete Variational Autoencoders by reframing the inference problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 María Martínez-García , Grace Villacrés , David Mitchell , Pablo M. Olmos

The widespread adoption of mobile and wearable sensing technologies has enabled continuous and personalized monitoring of affect, mood disorders, and stress. When combined with ecological self-report questionnaires, these systems offer a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Louis Simon , Mohamed Chetouani

We present a new recurrent neural network topology to enhance state-of-the-art machine learning systems by incorporating a broader context. Our approach overcomes recent limitations with extended narratives through a multi-layered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-08-07 Patrick Huber , Jan Niehues , Alex Waibel

Humans are able to create rich representations of their external reality. Their internal representations allow for cross-modality inference, where available perceptions can induce the perceptual experience of missing input modalities. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-05 Miguel Vasco , Francisco S. Melo , Ana Paiva

Prediction of future states of the environment and interacting agents is a key competence required for autonomous agents to operate successfully in the real world. Prior work for structured sequence prediction based on latent variable…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Apratim Bhattacharyya , Michael Hanselmann , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle

Conditional Variational Auto Encoders (VAE) are gathering significant attention as an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tool. The codes in the latent space provide a theoretically sound way to produce counterfactuals, i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Nicolas Vercheval , Aleksandra Pizurica

Sensor fusion can significantly improve the performance of many computer vision tasks. However, traditional fusion approaches are either not data-driven and cannot exploit prior knowledge nor find regularities in a given dataset or they are…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-26 Fabian Duffhauss , Ngo Anh Vien , Hanna Ziesche , Gerhard Neumann

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Generating power system states that have similar distribution and dependency to the historical ones is essential for the tasks of system planning and security assessment, especially when the historical data is insufficient. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Chenguang Wang , Simon H. Tindemans , Peter Palensky

Ensemble modeling has been widely used to solve complex problems as it helps to improve overall performance and generalization. In this paper, we propose a novel TemporalAugmenter approach based on ensemble modeling for augmenting the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Nelly Elsayed , Constantinos L. Zekios , Navid Asadizanjani , Zag ElSayed

We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-13 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Many visual scenes contain text that carries crucial information, and it is thus essential to understand text in images for downstream reasoning tasks. For example, a deep water label on a warning sign warns people about the danger in the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Ronghang Hu , Amanpreet Singh , Trevor Darrell , Marcus Rohrbach

Imagine generating a city's electricity demand pattern based on weather, the presence of an electric vehicle, and location, which could be used for capacity planning during a winter freeze. Such real-world time series are often enriched…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Sai Shankar Narasimhan , Shubhankar Agarwal , Oguzhan Akcin , Sujay Sanghavi , Sandeep Chinchali

Unsupervised anomaly detection and localization is a crucial task as it is impossible to collect and label all possible anomalies. Many studies have emphasized the importance of integrating local and global information to achieve accurate…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 E. Mathian , H. Liu , L. Fernandez-Cuesta , D. Samaras , M. Foll , L. Chen

Hierarchical Bayesian methods can unify many related tasks (e.g. k-shot classification, conditional and unconditional generation) as inference within a single generative model. However, when this generative model is expressed as a powerful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Luke B. Hewitt , Maxwell I. Nye , Andreea Gane , Tommi Jaakkola , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Studies suggest that within the hierarchical architecture, the topological higher level possibly represents a conscious category of the current sensory events with slower changing activities. They attempt to predict the activities on the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Junpei Zhong , Tetsuya Ogata , Angelo Cangelosi