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Causal discovery algorithms based on probabilistic graphical models have emerged in geoscience applications for the identification and visualization of dynamical processes. The key idea is to learn the structure of a graphical model from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-29 Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Yi Deng

In the field of Artificial Intelligence for Information Technology Operations, causal discovery is pivotal for operation and maintenance of graph construction, facilitating downstream industrial tasks such as root cause analysis. Temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Peiwen Li , Xin Wang , Zeyang Zhang , Yuan Meng , Fang Shen , Yue Li , Jialong Wang , Yang Li , Wenweu Zhu

Discovering causal relationships from time series data is significant in fields such as finance, climate science, and neuroscience. However, contemporary techniques rely on the simplifying assumption that data originates from the same…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Sumanth Varambally , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Hawkes processes are a special class of temporal point processes which exhibit a natural notion of causality, as occurrence of events in the past may increase the probability of events in the future. Discovery of the underlying influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Amirkasra Jalaldoust , Katerina Hlavackova-Schindler , Claudia Plant

Networks of timestamped interactions arise across social, financial, and biological domains, where forecasting future events requires modeling both evolving topology and temporal ordering. Temporal link prediction methods typically frame…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 İbrahim Bahadır Altun , Ahmet Erdem Sarıyüce

On time-series data, most causal discovery methods fit a new model whenever they encounter samples from a new underlying causal graph. However, these samples often share relevant information which is lost when following this approach.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Sindy Löwe , David Madras , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Causality is important for designing interpretable and robust methods in artificial intelligence research. We propose a local approach to identify whether a variable is a cause of a given target under the framework of causal graphical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Zhuangyan Fang , Yue Liu , Zhi Geng , Shengyu Zhu , Yangbo He

Ordinal variables, such as on the Likert scale, are common in applied research. Yet, existing methods for causal inference tend to target nominal or continuous data. When applied to ordinal data, this fails to account for the inherent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Martina Scauda , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Causal discovery from time series is a fundamental task in machine learning. However, its widespread adoption is hindered by a reliance on untestable causal assumptions and by the lack of robustness-oriented evaluation in existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Huiyang Yi , Xiaojian Shen , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Causal DAGs(Directed Acyclic Graphs) are usually considered in a 2D plane. Edges indicate causal effects' directions and imply their corresponding time-passings. Due to the natural restriction of statistical models, effect estimation is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Jia Li , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical framework for modeling these sequences, enabling inferences such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Victor Dheur , Tanguy Bosser , Rafael Izbicki , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Learning the unique directed acyclic graph corresponding to an unknown causal model is a challenging task. Methods based on functional causal models can identify a unique graph, but either suffer from the curse of dimensionality or impose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Sujai Hiremath , Jacqueline R. M. A. Maasch , Mengxiao Gao , Promit Ghosal , Kyra Gan

Causal inference with observational data critically relies on untestable and extra-statistical assumptions that have (sometimes) testable implications. Well-known sets of assumptions that are sufficient to justify the causal interpretation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Pablo Geraldo Bastías

Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision-making, as it aims to uncover causal relationships from observational data. However, identifying causality remains challenging due to the potential for confounding and the distinction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Discovering causal relationship using multivariate functional data has received a significant amount of attention very recently. In this article, we introduce a functional linear structural equation model for causal structure learning when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Saptarshi Roy , Raymond K. W. Wong , Yang Ni

The time-dependence of multi-point observable correlation functions are essential quantities in analysis and simulation of quantum dynamics. Open quantum systems approaches utilize two-point correlations to describe the influence of an…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-10-27 Yoana R. Chorbadzhiyska , Peter A. Ivanov , Charlie Nation

The causal dependence in data is often characterized by Directed Acyclic Graphical (DAG) models, widely used in many areas. Causal discovery aims to recover the DAG structure using observational data. This paper focuses on causal discovery…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Boxin Zhao , Weishi Wang , Dingyuan Zhu , Ziqi Liu , Dong Wang , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou , Mladen Kolar

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Learning human motion based on a time-dependent input signal presents a challenging yet impactful task with various applications. The goal of this task is to generate or estimate human movement that consistently reflects the temporal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Quang Nguyen , Tri Le , Baoru Huang , Minh Nhat Vu , Ngan Le , Thieu Vo , Anh Nguyen

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler