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We introduce a generalized Bayesian method for multiple changepoint analysis with a loss function inspired by multinomial logistic regression. The method does not require a specification of the data-generating process and avoids restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Yuhui Wang , Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch

When modelling censored observations, a typical approach in current regression methods is to use a censored-Gaussian (i.e. Tobit) model to describe the conditional output distribution. In this paper, as in the case of missing data, we argue…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-05 Daniele Gammelli , Kasper Pryds Rolsted , Dario Pacino , Filipe Rodrigues

Quantile regression relates the quantile of the response to a linear predictor. For a discrete response distributions, like the Poission, Binomial and the negative Binomial, this approach is not feasible as the quantile function is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Tullia Padellini , Haavard Rue

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield , Bani Mallick , Arman Hasanzadeh

Despite the abundance of methods for variable selection and accommodating spatial structure in regression models, there is little precedent for incorporating spatial dependence in covariate inclusion probabilities for regionally varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-05 Kristian Lum

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We propose a flexible class of models based on scale mixture of uniform distributions to construct shrinkage priors for covariance matrix estimation. This new class of priors enjoys a number of advantages over the traditional scale mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-10-07 Hao Wang , Natesh S. Pillai

This paper proposes a maximum-likelihood approach to jointly estimate marginal conditional quantiles of multivariate response variables in a linear regression framework. We consider a slight reparameterization of the Multivariate Asymmetric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Lea Petrella , Valentina Raponi

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

We study the problem of modeling univariate distributions via their quantile functions. We introduce a flexible family of distributions whose quantile function is a linear combination of basis quantiles. Because the model is linear in its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Cheng Peng , Yizhou Li , Stan Uryasev

Multinomial probit (mnp) models are fundamental and widely-applied regression models for categorical data. Fasano and Durante (2022) proved that the class of unified skew-normal distributions is conjugate to several mnp sampling models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Augusto Fasano , Giovanni Rebaudo , Niccolò Anceschi

In this paper, we adopt a latent variable method to formulate a network model with arbitrarily dependent structure. We assume that the latent variables follow a multivariate normal distribution and a link between two nodes forms if the sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Ting Yan

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Gibbs sampling, as a model learning method, is known to produce the most accurate results available in a variety of domains, and is a de facto standard in these domains. Yet, it is also well known that Gibbs random walks usually have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-20 Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

We develop an identifiable reduced-rank spatial multinomial model for categorical data with many classes. The model represents class-specific spatial effects through a low-dimensional set of shared latent factors, substantially reducing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Paul B May , Andrew Simpson , Semhar Michael

Several non-linear functions and machine learning methods have been developed for flexible specification of the systematic utility in discrete choice models. However, they lack interpretability, do not ensure monotonicity conditions, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Subodh Dubey , Oded Cats , Serge Hoogendoorn , Prateek Bansal

We study the $p$-generalized probit regression model, which is a generalized linear model for binary responses. It extends the standard probit model by replacing its link function, the standard normal cdf, by a $p$-generalized normal…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-03-28 Alexander Munteanu , Simon Omlor , Christian Peters

Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are used to predict clinically relevant outcomes or events. Typically, prognostic CPMs are derived to predict the risk of a single future outcome. However, with rising emphasis on the prediction of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Glen P. Martin , Matthew Sperrin , Kym I. E. Snell , Iain Buchan , Richard D. Riley

We develop quantile regression methods for discrete responses by extending Parzen's definition of marginal mid-quantiles. As opposed to existing approaches, which are based on either jittering or latent constructs, we use interpolation and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Marco Geraci , Alessio Farcomeni

In this article, we propose a penalized high dimensional semiparametric model average quantile prediction approach that is robust for forecasting the conditional quantile of the response. We consider a two-step estimation procedure. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-06 Jingwen Tu , Hu Yang , Chaohui Guo