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Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for fine-tuning the hyper-parameters of a wide variety of machine learning models. The success of machine learning has led practitioners in diverse real-world settings to learn classifiers for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-24 Matt J. Kusner , Jacob R. Gardner , Roman Garnett , Kilian Q. Weinberger

We propose a modification of the improved cross entropy (iCE) method to enhance its performance for network reliability assessment. The iCE method performs a transition from the nominal density to the optimal importance sampling (IS)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Regularized system identification is the major advance in system identification in the last decade. Although many promising results have been achieved, it is far from complete and there are still many key problems to be solved. One of them…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-05 Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Lennart Ljung , Tianshi Chen

We study how to communicate findings of Bayesian inference to third parties, while preserving the strong guarantee of differential privacy. Our main contributions are four different algorithms for private Bayesian inference on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-12-23 Zuhe Zhang , Benjamin Rubinstein , Christos Dimitrakakis

Consider a data publishing setting for a dataset composed by both private and non-private features. The publisher uses an empirical distribution, estimated from $n$ i.i.d. samples, to design a privacy mechanism which is applied to new fresh…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-03-23 Mario Diaz , Hao Wang , Flavio P. Calmon , Lalitha Sankar

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

The best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) is a popular statistical method adopted to combine multiple measurements of the same observable taking into account individual uncertainties and their correlation. The method is unbiased by…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-01-19 Luca Lista

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

In distributed networks, calculating the maximum element is a fundamental task in data analysis, known as the distributed maximum consensus problem. However, the sensitive nature of the data involved makes privacy protection essential.…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Wenrui Yu , Richard Heusdens , Jun Pang , Qiongxiu Li

Networked system often relies on distributed algorithms to achieve a global computation goal with iterative local information exchanges between neighbor nodes. To preserve data privacy, a node may add a random noise to its original data for…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-03-21 Jianping He , Lin Cai , Xinping Guan

We propose a Bayesian optimization algorithm for objective functions that are sums or integrals of expensive-to-evaluate functions, allowing noisy evaluations. These objective functions arise in multi-task Bayesian optimization for tuning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-26 Saul Toscano-Palmerin , Peter I. Frazier

In this paper, we consider the parameter estimation in a bandwidth-constrained sensor network communicating through an insecure medium. The sensor performs a local quantization, and transmits a 1-bit message to an estimation center through…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-13 Jimin Wang , Jieming Ke , Jin Guo , Yanlong Zhao

Bayesian inference has great promise for the privacy-preserving analysis of sensitive data, as posterior sampling automatically preserves differential privacy, an algorithmic notion of data privacy, under certain conditions (Dimitrakakis et…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-10 James Foulds , Joseph Geumlek , Max Welling , Kamalika Chaudhuri

Federated Learning enables collaborative training of machine learning models on decentralized data. This scheme, however, is vulnerable to adversarial attacks, when some of the clients submit corrupted model updates. In real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Aleksandr Karakulev , Usama Zafar , Salman Toor , Prashant Singh

This paper presents an Improved Bayesian Optimization (IBO) algorithm to solve complex high-dimensional epidemic models' optimal control solution. Evaluating the total objective function value for disease control models with hundreds of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

We have developed a frequentist approach for model selection which determines the consistency between any cosmological model and the data using the distribution of likelihoods from the iterative smoothing method. Using this approach, we…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-30 Hanwool Koo , Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo , Benjamin L'Huillier

Large data collections required for the training of neural networks often contain sensitive information such as the medical histories of patients, and the privacy of the training data must be preserved. In this paper, we introduce a dropout…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-06 Beyza Ermis , Ali Taylan Cemgil